The Vaimauga 3 by-election in Samoa remains highly uncertain following the June 2026 Electoral Court ruling that voided the May 1 result after finding both leading contenders guilty of corrupt practices, triggering a fresh contest under Samoa's party-hopping laws. Multiple independents and party-nominated candidates, including returning figures associated with FAST and HRPP, compete amid local priorities such as infrastructure, water supply, and economic pressures. This fragmentation, combined with the short timeline and absence of dominant polling or endorsements, sustains broad trader consensus around even odds for numerous options, with separation likely hinging on nomination finalization, campaign focus on constituency service, or any further legal or procedural developments before polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНону Лемауга Лаулу Уильям Мауиа 43%
Пуаалатамай Тупуола Малаеулу Филемони 43%
Суиало Лемигаоитамалии Суиало 43%
Ваёфуаиуполу Крис Фаофо 43%

Нону Лемауга Лаулу Уильям Мауиа
43%

Пуаалатамай Тупуола Малаеулу Филемони
43%

Суиало Лемигаоитамалии Суиало
43%

Ваёфуаиуполу Крис Фаофо
43%
Нону Лемауга Лаулу Уильям Мауиа 43%
Пуаалатамай Тупуола Малаеулу Филемони 43%
Суиало Лемигаоитамалии Суиало 43%
Ваёфуаиуполу Крис Фаофо 43%

Нону Лемауга Лаулу Уильям Мауиа
43%

Пуаалатамай Тупуола Малаеулу Филемони
43%

Суиало Лемигаоитамалии Суиало
43%

Ваёфуаиуполу Крис Фаофо
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Vaimauga 3 by-election in Samoa remains highly uncertain following the June 2026 Electoral Court ruling that voided the May 1 result after finding both leading contenders guilty of corrupt practices, triggering a fresh contest under Samoa's party-hopping laws. Multiple independents and party-nominated candidates, including returning figures associated with FAST and HRPP, compete amid local priorities such as infrastructure, water supply, and economic pressures. This fragmentation, combined with the short timeline and absence of dominant polling or endorsements, sustains broad trader consensus around even odds for numerous options, with separation likely hinging on nomination finalization, campaign focus on constituency service, or any further legal or procedural developments before polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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