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Мир·Мировые выборы

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Мир·Мировые выборы

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Marc-Antoine Bernier 42%

Chloé Fauchon 39%

Marcos Archambault 28%

Richard Bélanger 26%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Marc-Antoine Bernier 42%

Chloé Fauchon 39%

Marcos Archambault 28%

Richard Bélanger 26%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Marc-Antoine Bernier

Marc-Antoine Bernier

$0 Объем

42%

icon for Chloé Fauchon

Chloé Fauchon

$6 Объем

61%

icon for Marcos Archambault

Marcos Archambault

$0 Объем

28%

icon for Richard Bélanger

Richard Bélanger

$0 Объем

26%

icon for Anne-Sophie Roy

Anne-Sophie Roy

$0 Объем

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability at 61% in trader consensus for the Louis-Hébert seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. The riding, previously held by retiring CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault, features a competitive matchup with CAQ candidate Marc-Antoine Bernier at 43%, alongside lower probabilities for QS’s Anne-Sophie Roy, PCQ’s Marcos Archambault, and Liberal Richard Bélanger. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop and ongoing nomination period ending September 17, amid provincial polling trends favoring PQ gains in Capitale-Nationale ridings through emphasis on housing affordability, public services, and sovereignty messaging. Traders appear to weigh Fauchon’s profile as a public-interest lawyer against Bernier’s continuity with the governing party in a seat projected as a close PQ-CAQ contest by models like 338Canada.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Объем
$6
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability at 61% in trader consensus for the Louis-Hébert seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. The riding, previously held by retiring CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault, features a competitive matchup with CAQ candidate Marc-Antoine Bernier at 43%, alongside lower probabilities for QS’s Anne-Sophie Roy, PCQ’s Marcos Archambault, and Liberal Richard Bélanger. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop and ongoing nomination period ending September 17, amid provincial polling trends favoring PQ gains in Capitale-Nationale ridings through emphasis on housing affordability, public services, and sovereignty messaging. Traders appear to weigh Fauchon’s profile as a public-interest lawyer against Bernier’s continuity with the governing party in a seat projected as a close PQ-CAQ contest by models like 338Canada.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Объем
$6
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Андрес Фонтесилья следующие выборы в Национальное собрание Квебека по округу Лорье-Дорион?

Выиграет ли Андрес Фонтесилья следующие выборы в Национальное собрание Квебека по округу Лорье-Дорион?

45%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Клод Вильнев следующие выборы в Национальное собрание Квебека по округу Жан-Лесаж?

Выиграет ли Клод Вильнев следующие выборы в Национальное собрание Квебека по округу Жан-Лесаж?

46%
Да
icon for Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

44%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Chloé Fauchon» с 61%, за ним следует «Marc-Antoine Bernier» с 42%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 61¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Chloé Fauchon» с 61%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Marc-Antoine Bernier» с 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.