The Falealili 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court’s March 2026 bribery ruling against former FAST MP and Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo, which voided his 2025 victory; the Court of Appeal upheld the decision around June, clearing the path for the poll under the Electoral Act. Multiple candidates, including Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko and Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu, are contesting amid FAST’s efforts to retain the seat and HRPP challenges in the constituency. Trader odds remain tightly clustered near 50% for most listed contenders because no dominant frontrunner has emerged from local endorsements, party nominations, or recent campaigning, with separation likely hinging on voter turnout patterns, candidate withdrawals, or last-minute coalition signals before the writ and polling date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТавевеву Вилли Туатагалоа Фету 29%
Туилома Туса Сиилиили Ланиселота Ламеко 22%
Сеумафалеуполу Аперила Ваа Тиаи 16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%

Тавевеву Вилли Туатагалоа Фету
29%

Туилома Туса Сиилиили Ланиселота Ламеко
22%

Сеумафалеуполу Аперила Ваа Тиаи
16%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
15%

Си'а Фа'алетону Алек Лату
8%

Фуаолемоли Фалайла Фааусу Аллен
7%

Патеа Тавеувеу Таамалетоа Айпови Патеа
7%
Тавевеву Вилли Туатагалоа Фету 29%
Туилома Туса Сиилиили Ланиселота Ламеко 22%
Сеумафалеуполу Аперила Ваа Тиаи 16%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%

Тавевеву Вилли Туатагалоа Фету
29%

Туилома Туса Сиилиили Ланиселота Ламеко
22%

Сеумафалеуполу Аперила Ваа Тиаи
16%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
15%

Си'а Фа'алетону Алек Лату
8%

Фуаолемоли Фалайла Фааусу Аллен
7%

Патеа Тавеувеу Таамалетоа Айпови Патеа
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Falealili 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court’s March 2026 bribery ruling against former FAST MP and Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo, which voided his 2025 victory; the Court of Appeal upheld the decision around June, clearing the path for the poll under the Electoral Act. Multiple candidates, including Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko and Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu, are contesting amid FAST’s efforts to retain the seat and HRPP challenges in the constituency. Trader odds remain tightly clustered near 50% for most listed contenders because no dominant frontrunner has emerged from local endorsements, party nominations, or recent campaigning, with separation likely hinging on voter turnout patterns, candidate withdrawals, or last-minute coalition signals before the writ and polling date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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