Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour well ahead in projected seats under New Zealand’s MMP system, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens as the main contenders for third place ahead of the November 7 election. New Zealand First has maintained steady double-digit support, reinforced by its governing-coalition position and recent policy releases on immigration caps and citizenship rules that sustain its base. The Greens have posted gains in several mid-2026 surveys, occasionally reaching the mid-teens, yet remain slightly behind in most aggregates. ACT trails both but stays viable near the threshold, while smaller parties like TOP and Te Pāti Māori project fewer seats. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap between the two leading minor parties and the volatility typical of late-campaign swings in minor-party support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 54%
Green Party 41%
National Party 4.5%
ACT New Zealand 3.8%
$15,189 Объем
$15,189 Объем
6 нояб. 2026 г.
New Zealand First Party
54%
Green Party
41%
National Party
5%
ACT New Zealand
4%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 54%
Green Party 41%
National Party 4.5%
ACT New Zealand 3.8%
$15,189 Объем
$15,189 Объем
6 нояб. 2026 г.
New Zealand First Party
$5,447 Объем
54%
Green Party
$6,195 Объем
41%
National Party
$564 Объем
5%
ACT New Zealand
$862 Объем
4%
Te Pāti Māori
$915 Объем
<1%
Labour Party
$1,206 Объем
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour well ahead in projected seats under New Zealand’s MMP system, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens as the main contenders for third place ahead of the November 7 election. New Zealand First has maintained steady double-digit support, reinforced by its governing-coalition position and recent policy releases on immigration caps and citizenship rules that sustain its base. The Greens have posted gains in several mid-2026 surveys, occasionally reaching the mid-teens, yet remain slightly behind in most aggregates. ACT trails both but stays viable near the threshold, while smaller parties like TOP and Te Pāti Māori project fewer seats. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap between the two leading minor parties and the volatility typical of late-campaign swings in minor-party support.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Объем
$15,189Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour well ahead in projected seats under New Zealand’s MMP system, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens as the main contenders for third place ahead of the November 7 election. New Zealand First has maintained steady double-digit support, reinforced by its governing-coalition position and recent policy releases on immigration caps and citizenship rules that sustain its base. The Greens have posted gains in several mid-2026 surveys, occasionally reaching the mid-teens, yet remain slightly behind in most aggregates. ACT trails both but stays viable near the threshold, while smaller parties like TOP and Te Pāti Māori project fewer seats. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap between the two leading minor parties and the volatility typical of late-campaign swings in minor-party support.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Объем
$15,189Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour well ahead in projected seats under New Zealand’s MMP system, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens as the main contenders for third place ahead of the November 7 election. New Zealand First has maintained steady double-digit support, reinforced by its governing-coalition position and recent policy releases on immigration caps and citizenship rules that sustain its base. The Greens have posted gains in several mid-2026 surveys, occasionally reaching the mid-teens, yet remain slightly behind in most aggregates. ACT trails both but stays viable near the threshold, while smaller parties like TOP and Te Pāti Māori project fewer seats. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap between the two leading minor parties and the volatility typical of late-campaign swings in minor-party support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
50%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
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