Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces intense competition from newer centrist and center-right lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot), Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid), and the Democrats, which have fragmented the moderate voter base ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent opinion polls consistently place the party well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projected shares typically ranging from under 1% to around 2-3% depending on the survey. Gantz has emphasized forming a broad Zionist coalition without Arab parties or extremists, yet this positioning has not reversed the party's decline amid bloc realignments and surplus-vote agreements among rivals. Trader pricing in the lowest vote-share bins aligns with these polling averages and the structural barriers posed by vote splitting in the center.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<0,75% 39%
2-3,25% 22%
0,75–1,25% 21%
1.25–2% 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<0,75%
55%
0,75–1,25%
21%
1.25–2%
20%
2-3,25%
22%
3,25%+
6%
<0,75% 39%
2-3,25% 22%
0,75–1,25% 21%
1.25–2% 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<0,75%
$244 Объем
55%
0,75–1,25%
$373 Объем
21%
1.25–2%
$15 Объем
20%
2-3,25%
$15 Объем
22%
3,25%+
$247 Объем
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces intense competition from newer centrist and center-right lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot), Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid), and the Democrats, which have fragmented the moderate voter base ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent opinion polls consistently place the party well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projected shares typically ranging from under 1% to around 2-3% depending on the survey. Gantz has emphasized forming a broad Zionist coalition without Arab parties or extremists, yet this positioning has not reversed the party's decline amid bloc realignments and surplus-vote agreements among rivals. Trader pricing in the lowest vote-share bins aligns with these polling averages and the structural barriers posed by vote splitting in the center.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Объем
$894Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces intense competition from newer centrist and center-right lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot), Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid), and the Democrats, which have fragmented the moderate voter base ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent opinion polls consistently place the party well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projected shares typically ranging from under 1% to around 2-3% depending on the survey. Gantz has emphasized forming a broad Zionist coalition without Arab parties or extremists, yet this positioning has not reversed the party's decline amid bloc realignments and surplus-vote agreements among rivals. Trader pricing in the lowest vote-share bins aligns with these polling averages and the structural barriers posed by vote splitting in the center.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$894Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces intense competition from newer centrist and center-right lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot), Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid), and the Democrats, which have fragmented the moderate voter base ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent opinion polls consistently place the party well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projected shares typically ranging from under 1% to around 2-3% depending on the survey. Gantz has emphasized forming a broad Zionist coalition without Arab parties or extremists, yet this positioning has not reversed the party's decline amid bloc realignments and surplus-vote agreements among rivals. Trader pricing in the lowest vote-share bins aligns with these polling averages and the structural barriers posed by vote splitting in the center.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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