Ashley Hinson holds a modest edge in trader pricing for Iowa's open 2026 Senate seat, reflecting the state's Republican lean and her strong primary performance. Hinson, the sitting U.S. representative for Iowa's 2nd district, secured the GOP nomination with 73.9% after Donald Trump's endorsement and outraised rivals significantly. Josh Turek, a Democratic state representative and former Paralympian, won his party's nomination but faces an uphill path in a state where Republicans have dominated recent federal races. Recent polls from Emerson, Fox News, and Siena show Hinson leading by 2–4 points or tied among likely voters, with the race rated competitive but tilted toward the GOP by forecasting models. Fundraising disparities, national party attention, and Iowa's voting patterns continue to shape positioning ahead of the November election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
$172,465 Объем
$172,465 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Эшли Хинсон (Р)
56%
Джош Турек (Д)
44%
$172,465 Объем
$172,465 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Эшли Хинсон (Р)
$83,394 Объем
56%
Джош Турек (Д)
$89,071 Объем
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson holds a modest edge in trader pricing for Iowa's open 2026 Senate seat, reflecting the state's Republican lean and her strong primary performance. Hinson, the sitting U.S. representative for Iowa's 2nd district, secured the GOP nomination with 73.9% after Donald Trump's endorsement and outraised rivals significantly. Josh Turek, a Democratic state representative and former Paralympian, won his party's nomination but faces an uphill path in a state where Republicans have dominated recent federal races. Recent polls from Emerson, Fox News, and Siena show Hinson leading by 2–4 points or tied among likely voters, with the race rated competitive but tilted toward the GOP by forecasting models. Fundraising disparities, national party attention, and Iowa's voting patterns continue to shape positioning ahead of the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Объем
$172,465Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson holds a modest edge in trader pricing for Iowa's open 2026 Senate seat, reflecting the state's Republican lean and her strong primary performance. Hinson, the sitting U.S. representative for Iowa's 2nd district, secured the GOP nomination with 73.9% after Donald Trump's endorsement and outraised rivals significantly. Josh Turek, a Democratic state representative and former Paralympian, won his party's nomination but faces an uphill path in a state where Republicans have dominated recent federal races. Recent polls from Emerson, Fox News, and Siena show Hinson leading by 2–4 points or tied among likely voters, with the race rated competitive but tilted toward the GOP by forecasting models. Fundraising disparities, national party attention, and Iowa's voting patterns continue to shape positioning ahead of the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$172,465Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Hinson holds a modest edge in trader pricing for Iowa's open 2026 Senate seat, reflecting the state's Republican lean and her strong primary performance. Hinson, the sitting U.S. representative for Iowa's 2nd district, secured the GOP nomination with 73.9% after Donald Trump's endorsement and outraised rivals significantly. Josh Turek, a Democratic state representative and former Paralympian, won his party's nomination but faces an uphill path in a state where Republicans have dominated recent federal races. Recent polls from Emerson, Fox News, and Siena show Hinson leading by 2–4 points or tied among likely voters, with the race rated competitive but tilted toward the GOP by forecasting models. Fundraising disparities, national party attention, and Iowa's voting patterns continue to shape positioning ahead of the November election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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