Republican Ashley Hinson holds a 61 percent implied probability in this open-seat contest after winning her party's June 2 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote, while Democrat Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination with 63 percent. Iowa has not elected a Democratic senator since 2008, and consistent Republican advantages in statewide voting patterns and voter registration continue to shape trader assessments. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning Republican, reflecting these structural factors even as early general-election polling showed competitive hypothetical matchups. With the November 3, 2026, general election still months away, campaign developments could narrow or widen the current gap reflected in market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
$120,770 Объем
$120,770 Объем

Республиканец
61%

Демократ
40%
$120,770 Объем
$120,770 Объем

Республиканец
61%

Демократ
40%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ashley Hinson holds a 61 percent implied probability in this open-seat contest after winning her party's June 2 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote, while Democrat Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination with 63 percent. Iowa has not elected a Democratic senator since 2008, and consistent Republican advantages in statewide voting patterns and voter registration continue to shape trader assessments. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning Republican, reflecting these structural factors even as early general-election polling showed competitive hypothetical matchups. With the November 3, 2026, general election still months away, campaign developments could narrow or widen the current gap reflected in market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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