Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, remains strongly positioned for the Democratic nominee following the August 11 primaries. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent control of statewide offices, both Senate seats, and the state's recent electoral history with no Republican Senate victory since 2002. Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan have dominated fundraising and endorsements, while Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya faces a significantly weaker field. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win aligns with these structural advantages. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong general-election performance or major shifts in voter turnout and national conditions before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
Победитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
$34,610 Объем
$34,610 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
94%
Республиканцы
7%
$34,610 Объем
$34,610 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$23,551 Объем
94%
Республиканцы
$11,059 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, remains strongly positioned for the Democratic nominee following the August 11 primaries. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent control of statewide offices, both Senate seats, and the state's recent electoral history with no Republican Senate victory since 2002. Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan have dominated fundraising and endorsements, while Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya faces a significantly weaker field. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win aligns with these structural advantages. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong general-election performance or major shifts in voter turnout and national conditions before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$34,610Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, remains strongly positioned for the Democratic nominee following the August 11 primaries. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent control of statewide offices, both Senate seats, and the state's recent electoral history with no Republican Senate victory since 2002. Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan have dominated fundraising and endorsements, while Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya faces a significantly weaker field. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win aligns with these structural advantages. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong general-election performance or major shifts in voter turnout and national conditions before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$34,610Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, remains strongly positioned for the Democratic nominee following the August 11 primaries. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent control of statewide offices, both Senate seats, and the state's recent electoral history with no Republican Senate victory since 2002. Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan have dominated fundraising and endorsements, while Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya faces a significantly weaker field. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win aligns with these structural advantages. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong general-election performance or major shifts in voter turnout and national conditions before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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