Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters due to the state's partisan lean and primary dynamics. Democratic contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary, with general-election polls showing either nominee ahead of Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6–8 points. These factors underpin the 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner, reflecting trader assessment of structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
Победитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
$25,253 Объем
$25,253 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
90%
Республиканцы
11%
$25,253 Объем
$25,253 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$17,228 Объем
90%
Республиканцы
$8,024 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters due to the state's partisan lean and primary dynamics. Democratic contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary, with general-election polls showing either nominee ahead of Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6–8 points. These factors underpin the 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner, reflecting trader assessment of structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$25,253Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters due to the state's partisan lean and primary dynamics. Democratic contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary, with general-election polls showing either nominee ahead of Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6–8 points. These factors underpin the 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner, reflecting trader assessment of structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$25,253Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters due to the state's partisan lean and primary dynamics. Democratic contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary, with general-election polls showing either nominee ahead of Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6–8 points. These factors underpin the 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner, reflecting trader assessment of structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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