Minnesota's 2026 Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith declined to run again, with the Democratic primary between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig set for August 11. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, citing the state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates and limited Republican recruitment success after several prominent figures declined to run. Recent polling shows Democratic nominees ahead of leading Republican primary contenders by margins of 6-13 points, while the GOP primary has centered on candidates like Michele Tafoya without producing a clear frontrunner capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. These dynamics have produced trader consensus around a strong Democratic advantage heading into the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
$25,251 Объем
$25,251 Объем

Демократ
90%

Республиканцы
11%
$25,251 Объем
$25,251 Объем

Демократ
90%

Республиканцы
11%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 2026 Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith declined to run again, with the Democratic primary between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig set for August 11. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, citing the state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates and limited Republican recruitment success after several prominent figures declined to run. Recent polling shows Democratic nominees ahead of leading Republican primary contenders by margins of 6-13 points, while the GOP primary has centered on candidates like Michele Tafoya without producing a clear frontrunner capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. These dynamics have produced trader consensus around a strong Democratic advantage heading into the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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