**Democratic nominee Graham Platner holds a 66.5% implied probability against Republican incumbent Susan Collins at 34.5% in the 2026 Maine Senate race.** Recent general-election polling consistently shows Platner ahead or within the margin of error, including surveys from UMass Lowell (48-43), Quantus Insights (46-45), and others placing the Democrat at 48% or slightly higher. These results follow Platner’s June 9 primary victory, where he secured the nomination after former Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in April amid fundraising shortfalls. Maine’s political environment favors the challenger: the state has supported Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, and Collins faces a tested but aging moderate Republican profile in a contest rated toss-up or slight Democratic lean by most forecasters. Platner’s veteran background, grassroots fundraising, and progressive endorsements have sustained momentum, while Collins benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and cross-party appeal built over five terms. The race remains closely contested, with turnout patterns, independent voters, and any late-cycle developments in the broader Senate map serving as the main variables that could shift probabilities before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Мэн
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Мэн
$526,549 Объем
$526,549 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
67%
Республиканец
35%
$526,549 Объем
$526,549 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$316,584 Объем
67%
Республиканец
$210,679 Объем
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democratic nominee Graham Platner holds a 66.5% implied probability against Republican incumbent Susan Collins at 34.5% in the 2026 Maine Senate race.** Recent general-election polling consistently shows Platner ahead or within the margin of error, including surveys from UMass Lowell (48-43), Quantus Insights (46-45), and others placing the Democrat at 48% or slightly higher. These results follow Platner’s June 9 primary victory, where he secured the nomination after former Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in April amid fundraising shortfalls.
Maine’s political environment favors the challenger: the state has supported Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, and Collins faces a tested but aging moderate Republican profile in a contest rated toss-up or slight Democratic lean by most forecasters. Platner’s veteran background, grassroots fundraising, and progressive endorsements have sustained momentum, while Collins benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and cross-party appeal built over five terms. The race remains closely contested, with turnout patterns, independent voters, and any late-cycle developments in the broader Senate map serving as the main variables that could shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$526,549Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democratic nominee Graham Platner holds a 66.5% implied probability against Republican incumbent Susan Collins at 34.5% in the 2026 Maine Senate race.** Recent general-election polling consistently shows Platner ahead or within the margin of error, including surveys from UMass Lowell (48-43), Quantus Insights (46-45), and others placing the Democrat at 48% or slightly higher. These results follow Platner’s June 9 primary victory, where he secured the nomination after former Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in April amid fundraising shortfalls.
Maine’s political environment favors the challenger: the state has supported Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, and Collins faces a tested but aging moderate Republican profile in a contest rated toss-up or slight Democratic lean by most forecasters. Platner’s veteran background, grassroots fundraising, and progressive endorsements have sustained momentum, while Collins benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and cross-party appeal built over five terms. The race remains closely contested, with turnout patterns, independent voters, and any late-cycle developments in the broader Senate map serving as the main variables that could shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$526,549Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Graham Platner holds a 66.5% implied probability against Republican incumbent Susan Collins at 34.5% in the 2026 Maine Senate race.** Recent general-election polling consistently shows Platner ahead or within the margin of error, including surveys from UMass Lowell (48-43), Quantus Insights (46-45), and others placing the Democrat at 48% or slightly higher. These results follow Platner’s June 9 primary victory, where he secured the nomination after former Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in April amid fundraising shortfalls. Maine’s political environment favors the challenger: the state has supported Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, and Collins faces a tested but aging moderate Republican profile in a contest rated toss-up or slight Democratic lean by most forecasters. Platner’s veteran background, grassroots fundraising, and progressive endorsements have sustained momentum, while Collins benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and cross-party appeal built over five terms. The race remains closely contested, with turnout patterns, independent voters, and any late-cycle developments in the broader Senate map serving as the main variables that could shift probabilities before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы