Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured renomination with 86% in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Christopher Reichard and Libertarian Rebecca Sharpe Lombard in a district with an R+54 partisan lean. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Smith's substantial fundraising edge, long tenure chairing the Ways and Means Committee, and focus on agriculture, rural health funding, and tax policy reinforce his position. Democratic challengers raised under $40,000 combined through the primaries. A commanding Republican lead in trader consensus reflects the district's consistent voting patterns and limited opposition resources; shifts would require an unforeseen national swing, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$46,136 Объем
$46,136 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
96%
Демократическая партия
4%
$46,136 Объем
$46,136 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$27,583 Объем
96%
Демократическая партия
$18,553 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured renomination with 86% in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Christopher Reichard and Libertarian Rebecca Sharpe Lombard in a district with an R+54 partisan lean. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Smith's substantial fundraising edge, long tenure chairing the Ways and Means Committee, and focus on agriculture, rural health funding, and tax policy reinforce his position. Democratic challengers raised under $40,000 combined through the primaries. A commanding Republican lead in trader consensus reflects the district's consistent voting patterns and limited opposition resources; shifts would require an unforeseen national swing, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$46,136Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured renomination with 86% in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Christopher Reichard and Libertarian Rebecca Sharpe Lombard in a district with an R+54 partisan lean. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Smith's substantial fundraising edge, long tenure chairing the Ways and Means Committee, and focus on agriculture, rural health funding, and tax policy reinforce his position. Democratic challengers raised under $40,000 combined through the primaries. A commanding Republican lead in trader consensus reflects the district's consistent voting patterns and limited opposition resources; shifts would require an unforeseen national swing, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$46,136Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured renomination with 86% in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Christopher Reichard and Libertarian Rebecca Sharpe Lombard in a district with an R+54 partisan lean. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Smith's substantial fundraising edge, long tenure chairing the Ways and Means Committee, and focus on agriculture, rural health funding, and tax policy reinforce his position. Democratic challengers raised under $40,000 combined through the primaries. A commanding Republican lead in trader consensus reflects the district's consistent voting patterns and limited opposition resources; shifts would require an unforeseen national swing, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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