Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed in a competitive field after longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired, and Democratic nominee Josh Smead. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with the district’s rural northern Missouri base and historical margins exceeding 20 points. A late scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural and rating data indicate such shifts remain unlikely before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$40,982 Объем
$40,982 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$40,982 Объем
$40,982 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$26,328 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$14,654 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed in a competitive field after longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired, and Democratic nominee Josh Smead. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with the district’s rural northern Missouri base and historical margins exceeding 20 points. A late scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural and rating data indicate such shifts remain unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$40,982Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed in a competitive field after longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired, and Democratic nominee Josh Smead. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with the district’s rural northern Missouri base and historical margins exceeding 20 points. A late scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural and rating data indicate such shifts remain unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,982Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed in a competitive field after longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired, and Democratic nominee Josh Smead. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with the district’s rural northern Missouri base and historical margins exceeding 20 points. A late scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural and rating data indicate such shifts remain unlikely before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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