Recent Léger and other polls ahead of the October 5 Quebec election show the PQ leading at around 30 percent, with the PLQ and CAQ tied near 23 percent and the PCQ rising to 13–16 percent. This positioning creates a fluid contest for third place, where the CAQ and PCQ sit closest in implied probability as francophone voters consolidate and second-choice preferences remain widely distributed. The CAQ’s modest rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette and the PCQ’s regional strength, especially around Quebec City, keep their third-place chances nearly even. Key variables that could separate outcomes include turnout among francophones, the impact of U.S. trade tensions, and any late shifts in second preferences during the official campaign that begins August 29.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПКК 44%
CAQ 43%
PLQ 27%
Квебекская партия 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
ПКК
44%
CAQ
43%
PLQ
27%
Квебекская партия
25%
QS
21%
PVQ
5%
ПКК 44%
CAQ 43%
PLQ 27%
Квебекская партия 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
ПКК
$0 Объем
44%
CAQ
$0 Объем
43%
PLQ
$0 Объем
27%
Квебекская партия
$0 Объем
25%
QS
$61 Объем
21%
PVQ
$167 Объем
5%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and other polls ahead of the October 5 Quebec election show the PQ leading at around 30 percent, with the PLQ and CAQ tied near 23 percent and the PCQ rising to 13–16 percent. This positioning creates a fluid contest for third place, where the CAQ and PCQ sit closest in implied probability as francophone voters consolidate and second-choice preferences remain widely distributed. The CAQ’s modest rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette and the PCQ’s regional strength, especially around Quebec City, keep their third-place chances nearly even. Key variables that could separate outcomes include turnout among francophones, the impact of U.S. trade tensions, and any late shifts in second preferences during the official campaign that begins August 29.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Объем
$228Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and other polls ahead of the October 5 Quebec election show the PQ leading at around 30 percent, with the PLQ and CAQ tied near 23 percent and the PCQ rising to 13–16 percent. This positioning creates a fluid contest for third place, where the CAQ and PCQ sit closest in implied probability as francophone voters consolidate and second-choice preferences remain widely distributed. The CAQ’s modest rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette and the PCQ’s regional strength, especially around Quebec City, keep their third-place chances nearly even. Key variables that could separate outcomes include turnout among francophones, the impact of U.S. trade tensions, and any late shifts in second preferences during the official campaign that begins August 29.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$228Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Léger and other polls ahead of the October 5 Quebec election show the PQ leading at around 30 percent, with the PLQ and CAQ tied near 23 percent and the PCQ rising to 13–16 percent. This positioning creates a fluid contest for third place, where the CAQ and PCQ sit closest in implied probability as francophone voters consolidate and second-choice preferences remain widely distributed. The CAQ’s modest rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette and the PCQ’s regional strength, especially around Quebec City, keep their third-place chances nearly even. Key variables that could separate outcomes include turnout among francophones, the impact of U.S. trade tensions, and any late shifts in second preferences during the official campaign that begins August 29.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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