The Parti Québécois maintains a polling lead of roughly 30-31% ahead of the October 5, 2026, contest, driven by sustained strength among Francophone voters and its sovereigntist platform, which has translated into the highest implied probability of securing the most seats. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at 25-28% and performs best among non-Francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership victory and subsequent shift in messaging after François Legault’s January resignation. Recent Léger, Synopsis, and Mainstreet surveys confirm a tightening three-way dynamic rather than a PQ runaway, with undecided voters still near 50% and regional seat projections showing the PQ near or above a majority threshold. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus favoring the PQ while leaving room for movement as the campaign intensifies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель всеобщих выборов в Квебеке
Победитель всеобщих выборов в Квебеке
Квебекская партия 54%
КЛП 25%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека 18%
КПК <1%
$570,684 Объем
$570,684 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
Квебекская партия
54%
КЛП
25%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека
18%
КПК
<1%
QS
<1%
ПВК
<1%
Квебекская партия 54%
КЛП 25%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека 18%
КПК <1%
$570,684 Объем
$570,684 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
Квебекская партия
$59,423 Объем
54%
КЛП
$61,832 Объем
25%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека
$70,516 Объем
18%
КПК
$174,245 Объем
<1%
QS
$74,540 Объем
<1%
ПВК
$130,127 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a polling lead of roughly 30-31% ahead of the October 5, 2026, contest, driven by sustained strength among Francophone voters and its sovereigntist platform, which has translated into the highest implied probability of securing the most seats. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at 25-28% and performs best among non-Francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership victory and subsequent shift in messaging after François Legault’s January resignation. Recent Léger, Synopsis, and Mainstreet surveys confirm a tightening three-way dynamic rather than a PQ runaway, with undecided voters still near 50% and regional seat projections showing the PQ near or above a majority threshold. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus favoring the PQ while leaving room for movement as the campaign intensifies.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Объем
$570,684Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a polling lead of roughly 30-31% ahead of the October 5, 2026, contest, driven by sustained strength among Francophone voters and its sovereigntist platform, which has translated into the highest implied probability of securing the most seats. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at 25-28% and performs best among non-Francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership victory and subsequent shift in messaging after François Legault’s January resignation. Recent Léger, Synopsis, and Mainstreet surveys confirm a tightening three-way dynamic rather than a PQ runaway, with undecided voters still near 50% and regional seat projections showing the PQ near or above a majority threshold. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus favoring the PQ while leaving room for movement as the campaign intensifies.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$570,684Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a polling lead of roughly 30-31% ahead of the October 5, 2026, contest, driven by sustained strength among Francophone voters and its sovereigntist platform, which has translated into the highest implied probability of securing the most seats. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at 25-28% and performs best among non-Francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership victory and subsequent shift in messaging after François Legault’s January resignation. Recent Léger, Synopsis, and Mainstreet surveys confirm a tightening three-way dynamic rather than a PQ runaway, with undecided voters still near 50% and regional seat projections showing the PQ near or above a majority threshold. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus favoring the PQ while leaving room for movement as the campaign intensifies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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