Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly in the October 2026 general election under the first-past-the-post system, reflecting seat projections like 338Canada's April 23 update showing PQ at 64 seats versus PLQ's 44 amid a tight popular vote (PQ 31%, PLQ 29%). Recent Léger (April 19) and Pallas Data (April 14) polls confirm the PQ's narrow edge, bolstered by strength outside Montreal where PLQ leads. CAQ's 9.5% pricing aligns with its projected zero seats despite a post-leadership bump to 15% under new premier Christine Fréchette, elected April 12 after François Legault's January resignation. Smaller parties trail far behind, with key upcoming debates and regional dynamics poised to influence the closely contested race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель всеобщих выборов в Квебеке
Победитель всеобщих выборов в Квебеке
Квебекская партия 56%
КЛП 34%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека 10%
КПК <1%
$454,209 Объем
$454,209 Объем

Квебекская партия
56%

КЛП
34%

Коалиция за будущее Квебека
10%

КПК
<1%

ПВК
<1%

QS
<1%
Квебекская партия 56%
КЛП 34%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека 10%
КПК <1%
$454,209 Объем
$454,209 Объем

Квебекская партия
56%

КЛП
34%

Коалиция за будущее Квебека
10%

КПК
<1%

ПВК
<1%

QS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly in the October 2026 general election under the first-past-the-post system, reflecting seat projections like 338Canada's April 23 update showing PQ at 64 seats versus PLQ's 44 amid a tight popular vote (PQ 31%, PLQ 29%). Recent Léger (April 19) and Pallas Data (April 14) polls confirm the PQ's narrow edge, bolstered by strength outside Montreal where PLQ leads. CAQ's 9.5% pricing aligns with its projected zero seats despite a post-leadership bump to 15% under new premier Christine Fréchette, elected April 12 after François Legault's January resignation. Smaller parties trail far behind, with key upcoming debates and regional dynamics poised to influence the closely contested race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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