The Somaliland Guurti’s April 2026 approval of a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils, exceeding the National Electoral Commission’s recommended 10-month delay, has locked in the postponement of parliamentary elections originally set for May 2026. Citing security challenges in eastern regions, drought conditions, and logistical hurdles, the decision shifted the contest to March 2027, aligning with trader consensus that no vote will occur before then. Ongoing NEC preparations, including recent technical discussions, reinforce this timeline under the current three-party system involving Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID. Early elections could still emerge if regional conflicts subside rapidly, political consensus accelerates preparations, or external pressures prompt a reversal, though such shifts remain unlikely given the recent institutional action and absence of new catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Сомалиленде
Победитель парламентских выборов в Сомалиленде
Выборы не раньше 2027 года 98.4%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID) <1%
Кулмийе <1%
Ваддани <1%
$111,988 Объем
$111,988 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Выборы не раньше 2027 года
98%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID)
1%
Кулмийе
<1%
Ваддани
<1%
Выборы не раньше 2027 года 98.4%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID) <1%
Кулмийе <1%
Ваддани <1%
$111,988 Объем
$111,988 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Выборы не раньше 2027 года
$98,229 Объем
98%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID)
$5,116 Объем
1%
Кулмийе
$3,882 Объем
<1%
Ваддани
$4,761 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The Somaliland Guurti’s April 2026 approval of a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils, exceeding the National Electoral Commission’s recommended 10-month delay, has locked in the postponement of parliamentary elections originally set for May 2026. Citing security challenges in eastern regions, drought conditions, and logistical hurdles, the decision shifted the contest to March 2027, aligning with trader consensus that no vote will occur before then. Ongoing NEC preparations, including recent technical discussions, reinforce this timeline under the current three-party system involving Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID. Early elections could still emerge if regional conflicts subside rapidly, political consensus accelerates preparations, or external pressures prompt a reversal, though such shifts remain unlikely given the recent institutional action and absence of new catalysts.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Объем
$111,988Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The Somaliland Guurti’s April 2026 approval of a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils, exceeding the National Electoral Commission’s recommended 10-month delay, has locked in the postponement of parliamentary elections originally set for May 2026. Citing security challenges in eastern regions, drought conditions, and logistical hurdles, the decision shifted the contest to March 2027, aligning with trader consensus that no vote will occur before then. Ongoing NEC preparations, including recent technical discussions, reinforce this timeline under the current three-party system involving Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID. Early elections could still emerge if regional conflicts subside rapidly, political consensus accelerates preparations, or external pressures prompt a reversal, though such shifts remain unlikely given the recent institutional action and absence of new catalysts.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Объем
$111,988Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The Somaliland Guurti’s April 2026 approval of a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils, exceeding the National Electoral Commission’s recommended 10-month delay, has locked in the postponement of parliamentary elections originally set for May 2026. Citing security challenges in eastern regions, drought conditions, and logistical hurdles, the decision shifted the contest to March 2027, aligning with trader consensus that no vote will occur before then. Ongoing NEC preparations, including recent technical discussions, reinforce this timeline under the current three-party system involving Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID. Early elections could still emerge if regional conflicts subside rapidly, political consensus accelerates preparations, or external pressures prompt a reversal, though such shifts remain unlikely given the recent institutional action and absence of new catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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