Skip to main content
icon for Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
Политика·Мировые выборы

Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии

icon for Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
Политика·Мировые выборы

Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии

AS 73.5%

SV 12.5%

LPV 6%

ПРО 4.3%

Polymarket

$212,547 Объем

AS 73.5%

SV 12.5%

LPV 6%

ПРО 4.3%

Polymarket

$212,547 Объем

AS

$36,540 Объем

74%

SV

$28,005 Объем

13%

LPV

$25,892 Объем

6%

ПРО

$31,521 Объем

4%

NA

$10,024 Объем

2%

JV

$13,769 Объем

<1%

ST!

$4,870 Объем

<1%

С

$6,655 Объем

<1%

ЗЗС

$55,270 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**AS leads the 2026 Latvian Saeima election market at 73.5% implied probability, reflecting its consistent polling advantage ahead of the October 3 vote.** Recent SKDS surveys from mid-to-late August show the United List (Apvienotais saraksts), led by Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, at around 23.6% support—well ahead of Suverēnā vara (SV) near 17%, Progresīvie (PRO) at 14%, and Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) at 12%. This edge stems from the four-party coalition's formation in May 2026 after the prior government's collapse over defense and drone-related disputes, combined with rising voter focus on security and stability. Other parties trail due to lower momentum in the final campaign stretch, though late shifts remain possible given high undecided rates. Traders price AS as the clear frontrunner for the largest seat share based on these trends.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Объем
$212,547
Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**AS leads the 2026 Latvian Saeima election market at 73.5% implied probability, reflecting its consistent polling advantage ahead of the October 3 vote.** Recent SKDS surveys from mid-to-late August show the United List (Apvienotais saraksts), led by Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, at around 23.6% support—well ahead of Suverēnā vara (SV) near 17%, Progresīvie (PRO) at 14%, and Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV) at 12%. This edge stems from the four-party coalition's formation in May 2026 after the prior government's collapse over defense and drone-related disputes, combined with rising voter focus on security and stability. Other parties trail due to lower momentum in the final campaign stretch, though late shifts remain possible given high undecided rates. Traders price AS as the clear frontrunner for the largest seat share based on these trends.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Объем
$212,547
Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).

Связанные

icon for Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

49%
icon for Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?

99%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?

Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?

98%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «AS» с 74%, за ним следует «SV» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 74¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $212.5K с момента запуска рынка Dec 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии» — «AS» с 74%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Следующий ближайший исход — «SV» с 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.