Recent polling from SKDS and others shows United List (AS) holding a narrow lead or competitive position ahead of the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, supported by its role in the new four-party center-right coalition formed in May after the previous government's collapse amid drone incursions and security tensions. Latvia First (LPV) and Sovereign Power (SV) follow closely in voter surveys, reflecting shifts among opposition and populist-leaning voters, while Progressives (PRO) and New Unity (JV) trail amid coalition realignments that excluded the former. Traders' implied probabilities appear to price in AS's institutional positioning, recent governing experience, and proportional representation dynamics favoring established lists, though the race remains fluid with roughly two months until voting and significant undecided voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
AS 57.1%
LPV 18%
SV 15.4%
ПРО 5.5%
$176,085 Объем
$176,085 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
AS
57%
LPV
18%
SV
15%
ПРО
6%
JV
2%
NA
2%
ЗЗС
1%
С
<1%
ST!
<1%
AS 57.1%
LPV 18%
SV 15.4%
ПРО 5.5%
$176,085 Объем
$176,085 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
AS
$28,789 Объем
57%
LPV
$21,405 Объем
18%
SV
$19,539 Объем
15%
ПРО
$28,332 Объем
6%
JV
$11,641 Объем
2%
NA
$7,381 Объем
2%
ЗЗС
$52,274 Объем
1%
С
$3,820 Объем
<1%
ST!
$2,904 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling from SKDS and others shows United List (AS) holding a narrow lead or competitive position ahead of the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, supported by its role in the new four-party center-right coalition formed in May after the previous government's collapse amid drone incursions and security tensions. Latvia First (LPV) and Sovereign Power (SV) follow closely in voter surveys, reflecting shifts among opposition and populist-leaning voters, while Progressives (PRO) and New Unity (JV) trail amid coalition realignments that excluded the former. Traders' implied probabilities appear to price in AS's institutional positioning, recent governing experience, and proportional representation dynamics favoring established lists, though the race remains fluid with roughly two months until voting and significant undecided voters.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$176,085Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling from SKDS and others shows United List (AS) holding a narrow lead or competitive position ahead of the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, supported by its role in the new four-party center-right coalition formed in May after the previous government's collapse amid drone incursions and security tensions. Latvia First (LPV) and Sovereign Power (SV) follow closely in voter surveys, reflecting shifts among opposition and populist-leaning voters, while Progressives (PRO) and New Unity (JV) trail amid coalition realignments that excluded the former. Traders' implied probabilities appear to price in AS's institutional positioning, recent governing experience, and proportional representation dynamics favoring established lists, though the race remains fluid with roughly two months until voting and significant undecided voters.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Объем
$176,085Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from SKDS and others shows United List (AS) holding a narrow lead or competitive position ahead of the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, supported by its role in the new four-party center-right coalition formed in May after the previous government's collapse amid drone incursions and security tensions. Latvia First (LPV) and Sovereign Power (SV) follow closely in voter surveys, reflecting shifts among opposition and populist-leaning voters, while Progressives (PRO) and New Unity (JV) trail amid coalition realignments that excluded the former. Traders' implied probabilities appear to price in AS's institutional positioning, recent governing experience, and proportional representation dynamics favoring established lists, though the race remains fluid with roughly two months until voting and significant undecided voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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98%
Да
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3%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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