Recent SKDS polls through mid-July show Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) leading Latvian voting intentions at 17–19%, ahead of Latvia First (LPV) at 15% and Sovereign Power (SV) at 14–17%, with the Progressives (PRO) close behind. This positioning stems from sustained dissatisfaction with the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition, which trails significantly and faces no-confidence pressure ahead of the October 3 vote. LPV’s populist appeal and SV’s nationalist gains have narrowed the gap in some surveys, yet AS maintains the clearest path to a plurality under the proportional system. Traders price AS at 57% to finish first, consistent with its polling edge, while lower odds for LPV, SV, and PRO reflect the fragmented field and coalition uncertainty that could still shift with final turnout or late developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
AS 57.3%
LPV 23%
SV 14.5%
ПРО 5.8%
$180,668 Объем
$180,668 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
AS
57%
LPV
23%
SV
15%
ПРО
6%
JV
2%
NA
2%
С
<1%
ЗЗС
<1%
ST!
<1%
AS 57.3%
LPV 23%
SV 14.5%
ПРО 5.8%
$180,668 Объем
$180,668 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
AS
$30,115 Объем
57%
LPV
$21,816 Объем
23%
SV
$20,833 Объем
15%
ПРО
$28,619 Объем
6%
JV
$11,944 Объем
2%
NA
$7,611 Объем
2%
С
$3,950 Объем
<1%
ЗЗС
$52,709 Объем
<1%
ST!
$3,072 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polls through mid-July show Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) leading Latvian voting intentions at 17–19%, ahead of Latvia First (LPV) at 15% and Sovereign Power (SV) at 14–17%, with the Progressives (PRO) close behind. This positioning stems from sustained dissatisfaction with the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition, which trails significantly and faces no-confidence pressure ahead of the October 3 vote. LPV’s populist appeal and SV’s nationalist gains have narrowed the gap in some surveys, yet AS maintains the clearest path to a plurality under the proportional system. Traders price AS at 57% to finish first, consistent with its polling edge, while lower odds for LPV, SV, and PRO reflect the fragmented field and coalition uncertainty that could still shift with final turnout or late developments.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$180,668Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polls through mid-July show Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) leading Latvian voting intentions at 17–19%, ahead of Latvia First (LPV) at 15% and Sovereign Power (SV) at 14–17%, with the Progressives (PRO) close behind. This positioning stems from sustained dissatisfaction with the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition, which trails significantly and faces no-confidence pressure ahead of the October 3 vote. LPV’s populist appeal and SV’s nationalist gains have narrowed the gap in some surveys, yet AS maintains the clearest path to a plurality under the proportional system. Traders price AS at 57% to finish first, consistent with its polling edge, while lower odds for LPV, SV, and PRO reflect the fragmented field and coalition uncertainty that could still shift with final turnout or late developments.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Объем
$180,668Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent SKDS polls through mid-July show Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) leading Latvian voting intentions at 17–19%, ahead of Latvia First (LPV) at 15% and Sovereign Power (SV) at 14–17%, with the Progressives (PRO) close behind. This positioning stems from sustained dissatisfaction with the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition, which trails significantly and faces no-confidence pressure ahead of the October 3 vote. LPV’s populist appeal and SV’s nationalist gains have narrowed the gap in some surveys, yet AS maintains the clearest path to a plurality under the proportional system. Traders price AS at 57% to finish first, consistent with its polling edge, while lower odds for LPV, SV, and PRO reflect the fragmented field and coalition uncertainty that could still shift with final turnout or late developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
47%
Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?
99%
Да
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
98%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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