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icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Политика·Швеция

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Политика·Швеция

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

НОВОЕ
31 янв. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$9,801 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$2,524 Объем

89%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$1,134 Объем

79%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$1,178 Объем

62%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$760 Объем

68%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$163 Объем

36%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$1,046 Объем

30%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$1,675 Объем

13%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$1,277 Объем

32%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$45 Объем

47%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the centre-left opposition bloc anchored by the Social Democrats holding a narrow lead over the incumbent right-wing Tidö coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, which relies on parliamentary support from the Sweden Democrats. This positioning reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, integration, and economic policy since the 2022 vote, with the Social Democrats projected to regain the prime minister’s office under Magdalena Andersson. Coalition negotiations after the election will determine formal government participation, as no bloc currently commands a clear majority on its own. Upcoming leader debates and final polling releases in the coming weeks represent key catalysts that could alter bloc margins and influence post-election bargaining dynamics among the eight Riksdag parties.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Объем
$9,801
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the centre-left opposition bloc anchored by the Social Democrats holding a narrow lead over the incumbent right-wing Tidö coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, which relies on parliamentary support from the Sweden Democrats. This positioning reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, integration, and economic policy since the 2022 vote, with the Social Democrats projected to regain the prime minister’s office under Magdalena Andersson. Coalition negotiations after the election will determine formal government participation, as no bloc currently commands a clear majority on its own. Upcoming leader debates and final polling releases in the coming weeks represent key catalysts that could alter bloc margins and influence post-election bargaining dynamics among the eight Riksdag parties.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Объем
$9,801
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?

98%
Да
icon for Парламентские выборы в Швеции: получат ли либералы места?

Парламентские выборы в Швеции: получат ли либералы места?

28%
Да
icon for Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

25%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)» с 89%, за ним следует «Green Party (MP)» с 79%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 19, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Текущий фаворит для «Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?» — «Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Green Party (MP)» с 79%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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