David Crowley's narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11, backed by retiring Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, has anchored trader consensus around his strong position in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race. As Milwaukee County Executive, Crowley secured the nomination in an upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong after briefly withdrawing and re-entering, demonstrating organizational strength in key urban areas. Post-primary Marquette Law School and other surveys from mid-to-late August show him leading or tied with Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany among likely voters, with advantages in independent support and Democratic turnout commitment. These elements, including the party's recent statewide performance patterns, underpin the current implied probabilities despite the race's inherent competitiveness heading into November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Висконсина
Победитель выборов губернатора Висконсина
$513,140 Объем
$513,140 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дэвид Кроули (Д)
81%
Том Тиффани (Р)
20%
$513,140 Объем
$513,140 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дэвид Кроули (Д)
$270,697 Объем
81%
Том Тиффани (Р)
$242,444 Объем
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11, backed by retiring Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, has anchored trader consensus around his strong position in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race. As Milwaukee County Executive, Crowley secured the nomination in an upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong after briefly withdrawing and re-entering, demonstrating organizational strength in key urban areas. Post-primary Marquette Law School and other surveys from mid-to-late August show him leading or tied with Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany among likely voters, with advantages in independent support and Democratic turnout commitment. These elements, including the party's recent statewide performance patterns, underpin the current implied probabilities despite the race's inherent competitiveness heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$513,140Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11, backed by retiring Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, has anchored trader consensus around his strong position in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race. As Milwaukee County Executive, Crowley secured the nomination in an upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong after briefly withdrawing and re-entering, demonstrating organizational strength in key urban areas. Post-primary Marquette Law School and other surveys from mid-to-late August show him leading or tied with Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany among likely voters, with advantages in independent support and Democratic turnout commitment. These elements, including the party's recent statewide performance patterns, underpin the current implied probabilities despite the race's inherent competitiveness heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$513,140Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley's narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11, backed by retiring Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, has anchored trader consensus around his strong position in the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial race. As Milwaukee County Executive, Crowley secured the nomination in an upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong after briefly withdrawing and re-entering, demonstrating organizational strength in key urban areas. Post-primary Marquette Law School and other surveys from mid-to-late August show him leading or tied with Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany among likely voters, with advantages in independent support and Democratic turnout commitment. These elements, including the party's recent statewide performance patterns, underpin the current implied probabilities despite the race's inherent competitiveness heading into November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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