David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong in the August 11 primary, aided by a late re-entry and endorsement from retiring Gov. Tony Evers. This consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative who won his primary without major opposition. Post-primary polls, including Marquette Law School’s survey of likely voters, show Crowley holding a narrow 49-44 lead, with the race tied among registered voters and independents favoring the Democrat. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics, Democratic turnout edge in Wisconsin, and Tiffany’s Trump alignment amid national headwinds more heavily than the tight polling averages, driving the pronounced market consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Висконсина
Победитель выборов губернатора Висконсина
$513,140 Объем
$513,140 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дэвид Кроули (Д)
81%
Том Тиффани (Р)
20%
$513,140 Объем
$513,140 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дэвид Кроули (Д)
$270,697 Объем
81%
Том Тиффани (Р)
$242,444 Объем
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong in the August 11 primary, aided by a late re-entry and endorsement from retiring Gov. Tony Evers. This consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative who won his primary without major opposition. Post-primary polls, including Marquette Law School’s survey of likely voters, show Crowley holding a narrow 49-44 lead, with the race tied among registered voters and independents favoring the Democrat. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics, Democratic turnout edge in Wisconsin, and Tiffany’s Trump alignment amid national headwinds more heavily than the tight polling averages, driving the pronounced market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$513,140Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong in the August 11 primary, aided by a late re-entry and endorsement from retiring Gov. Tony Evers. This consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative who won his primary without major opposition. Post-primary polls, including Marquette Law School’s survey of likely voters, show Crowley holding a narrow 49-44 lead, with the race tied among registered voters and independents favoring the Democrat. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics, Democratic turnout edge in Wisconsin, and Tiffany’s Trump alignment amid national headwinds more heavily than the tight polling averages, driving the pronounced market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$513,140Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong in the August 11 primary, aided by a late re-entry and endorsement from retiring Gov. Tony Evers. This consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative who won his primary without major opposition. Post-primary polls, including Marquette Law School’s survey of likely voters, show Crowley holding a narrow 49-44 lead, with the race tied among registered voters and independents favoring the Democrat. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics, Democratic turnout edge in Wisconsin, and Tiffany’s Trump alignment amid national headwinds more heavily than the tight polling averages, driving the pronounced market consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы