Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district due to the area’s established Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump’s 6.5-point margin there in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Giménez, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 64.6 percent in 2024, benefits from incumbency, substantial cash reserves, and unopposed primary advancement. Democrat Phil Ehr, a retired Navy commander making his second bid, has secured recent endorsements including from Rep. Jamie Raskin and the IBEW Local 349, along with a veterans’ voter outreach effort, yet faces structural headwinds in a district with limited Democratic infrastructure. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-28
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-28
$57,564 Объем
$57,564 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Карлос Хименес (Р)
94%
Фил Эр (Д)
6%
$57,564 Объем
$57,564 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Карлос Хименес (Р)
$33,834 Объем
94%
Фил Эр (Д)
$23,731 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district due to the area’s established Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump’s 6.5-point margin there in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Giménez, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 64.6 percent in 2024, benefits from incumbency, substantial cash reserves, and unopposed primary advancement. Democrat Phil Ehr, a retired Navy commander making his second bid, has secured recent endorsements including from Rep. Jamie Raskin and the IBEW Local 349, along with a veterans’ voter outreach effort, yet faces structural headwinds in a district with limited Democratic infrastructure. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$57,564Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district due to the area’s established Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump’s 6.5-point margin there in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Giménez, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 64.6 percent in 2024, benefits from incumbency, substantial cash reserves, and unopposed primary advancement. Democrat Phil Ehr, a retired Navy commander making his second bid, has secured recent endorsements including from Rep. Jamie Raskin and the IBEW Local 349, along with a veterans’ voter outreach effort, yet faces structural headwinds in a district with limited Democratic infrastructure. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$57,564Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district due to the area’s established Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump’s 6.5-point margin there in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Giménez, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 64.6 percent in 2024, benefits from incumbency, substantial cash reserves, and unopposed primary advancement. Democrat Phil Ehr, a retired Navy commander making his second bid, has secured recent endorsements including from Rep. Jamie Raskin and the IBEW Local 349, along with a veterans’ voter outreach effort, yet faces structural headwinds in a district with limited Democratic infrastructure. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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