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icon for TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Генри Куэльяр (Д)

$4,189 Объем

79%

Тано Тихерина (Р)

$5,496 Объем

18%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Henry Cuellar’s incumbency since 2005, local roots in Laredo, and December 2025 presidential pardon on federal bribery and money-laundering charges have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold in TX-28.** The pardon cleared a major legal overhang that previously rated the seat a toss-up and allowed Cuellar to retain subcommittee leadership while solidifying support among moderate voters. Mid-decade redistricting produced a modestly more Republican-leaning map (Trump +3 PVI), yet independent forecasters still classify the district Lean or Likely Democratic. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Webb County judge who switched parties, secured the GOP primary and carries a Trump endorsement, but faces an incumbent with superior name recognition and fundraising edge. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the decisive contest, with voter registration and early voting deadlines approaching.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,684
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Henry Cuellar’s incumbency since 2005, local roots in Laredo, and December 2025 presidential pardon on federal bribery and money-laundering charges have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold in TX-28.** The pardon cleared a major legal overhang that previously rated the seat a toss-up and allowed Cuellar to retain subcommittee leadership while solidifying support among moderate voters. Mid-decade redistricting produced a modestly more Republican-leaning map (Trump +3 PVI), yet independent forecasters still classify the district Lean or Likely Democratic. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Webb County judge who switched parties, secured the GOP primary and carries a Trump endorsement, but faces an incumbent with superior name recognition and fundraising edge. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the decisive contest, with voter registration and early voting deadlines approaching.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,684
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу TX-26?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу TX-26?

92%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу TX-29?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу TX-29?

94%
Да
icon for Республиканская партия выиграет место в Палате представителей по округу TX-27?

Республиканская партия выиграет место в Палате представителей по округу TX-27?

91%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Генри Куэльяр (Д)» с 79%, за ним следует «Тано Тихерина (Р)» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 79¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 79%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Dec 16, 2025. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Генри Куэльяр (Д)» с 79%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 79%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Тано Тихерина (Р)» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «TX-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.