Seth Magaziner’s position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District underpins the market’s strong consensus, reinforced by the district’s consistent Democratic lean and nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat as solidly Democratic. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Victor Mellor secured his party’s nomination the same day. Recent developments, including Magaziner’s press conference with Capitol Police officers highlighting Mellor’s January 6 participation, have further defined the contest along partisan lines. The general election occurs November 3. Potential shifts could stem from major late-campaign developments such as unexpected national events, candidate health issues, or significant polling swings, though the current structure favors continuity absent such catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRI-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
RI-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$46,233 Объем
$46,233 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сет Магазинер (Д)
97%
Виктор Меллор (Р)
1%
$46,233 Объем
$46,233 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сет Магазинер (Д)
$18,995 Объем
97%
Виктор Меллор (Р)
$27,238 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner’s position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District underpins the market’s strong consensus, reinforced by the district’s consistent Democratic lean and nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat as solidly Democratic. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Victor Mellor secured his party’s nomination the same day. Recent developments, including Magaziner’s press conference with Capitol Police officers highlighting Mellor’s January 6 participation, have further defined the contest along partisan lines. The general election occurs November 3. Potential shifts could stem from major late-campaign developments such as unexpected national events, candidate health issues, or significant polling swings, though the current structure favors continuity absent such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$46,233Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner’s position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District underpins the market’s strong consensus, reinforced by the district’s consistent Democratic lean and nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat as solidly Democratic. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Victor Mellor secured his party’s nomination the same day. Recent developments, including Magaziner’s press conference with Capitol Police officers highlighting Mellor’s January 6 participation, have further defined the contest along partisan lines. The general election occurs November 3. Potential shifts could stem from major late-campaign developments such as unexpected national events, candidate health issues, or significant polling swings, though the current structure favors continuity absent such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$46,233Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Seth Magaziner’s position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District underpins the market’s strong consensus, reinforced by the district’s consistent Democratic lean and nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat as solidly Democratic. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Victor Mellor secured his party’s nomination the same day. Recent developments, including Magaziner’s press conference with Capitol Police officers highlighting Mellor’s January 6 participation, have further defined the contest along partisan lines. The general election occurs November 3. Potential shifts could stem from major late-campaign developments such as unexpected national events, candidate health issues, or significant polling swings, though the current structure favors continuity absent such catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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