Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner seeks a third term in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has favored Democratic House candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s western Rhode Island geography and limited Republican organizational activity ahead of the September 2026 primaries. Magaziner maintains a substantial fundraising lead with over $1 million raised, while Republican primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly have not generated comparable resources or national attention. Trader consensus at 92 percent for Democrats aligns with the district’s structural advantages and the absence of late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected polling shifts that could alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRI-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
RI-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$2,705 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$1,114 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner seeks a third term in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has favored Democratic House candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s western Rhode Island geography and limited Republican organizational activity ahead of the September 2026 primaries. Magaziner maintains a substantial fundraising lead with over $1 million raised, while Republican primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly have not generated comparable resources or national attention. Trader consensus at 92 percent for Democrats aligns with the district’s structural advantages and the absence of late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected polling shifts that could alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$3,820Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner seeks a third term in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has favored Democratic House candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s western Rhode Island geography and limited Republican organizational activity ahead of the September 2026 primaries. Magaziner maintains a substantial fundraising lead with over $1 million raised, while Republican primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly have not generated comparable resources or national attention. Trader consensus at 92 percent for Democrats aligns with the district’s structural advantages and the absence of late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected polling shifts that could alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$3,820Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Seth Magaziner seeks a third term in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has favored Democratic House candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s western Rhode Island geography and limited Republican organizational activity ahead of the September 2026 primaries. Magaziner maintains a substantial fundraising lead with over $1 million raised, while Republican primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly have not generated comparable resources or national attention. Trader consensus at 92 percent for Democrats aligns with the district’s structural advantages and the absence of late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected polling shifts that could alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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