Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’ 2nd congressional district ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. McGovern’s long tenure, committee leadership, and prior strong general-election margins reinforce this edge. Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn, who previously ran without success, contends with limited fundraising, a narrow voter base, and structural headwinds typical of the state. Few recent developments have altered the baseline, though late national shifts, primary surprises, or unexpected candidate withdrawals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$41,995 Объем
$41,995 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$41,995 Объем
$41,995 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$30,272 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$11,723 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’ 2nd congressional district ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. McGovern’s long tenure, committee leadership, and prior strong general-election margins reinforce this edge. Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn, who previously ran without success, contends with limited fundraising, a narrow voter base, and structural headwinds typical of the state. Few recent developments have altered the baseline, though late national shifts, primary surprises, or unexpected candidate withdrawals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$41,995Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’ 2nd congressional district ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. McGovern’s long tenure, committee leadership, and prior strong general-election margins reinforce this edge. Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn, who previously ran without success, contends with limited fundraising, a narrow voter base, and structural headwinds typical of the state. Few recent developments have altered the baseline, though late national shifts, primary surprises, or unexpected candidate withdrawals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$41,995Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’ 2nd congressional district ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. McGovern’s long tenure, committee leadership, and prior strong general-election margins reinforce this edge. Republican challenger Tracy Lovvorn, who previously ran without success, contends with limited fundraising, a narrow voter base, and structural headwinds typical of the state. Few recent developments have altered the baseline, though late national shifts, primary surprises, or unexpected candidate withdrawals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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