Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jim McGovern secured 68.6% of the vote in 2024 and faces no primary opposition as he seeks another term ahead of the September 2026 primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited Republican recruitment or funding in a district encompassing central Massachusetts areas like Worcester. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee just 5.5% implied probability, consistent with historical base rates for such districts. Shifts could occur only through unforeseen developments such as McGovern's retirement, a major scandal, or a national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage before the November 2026 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$41,995 Объем
$41,995 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$41,995 Объем
$41,995 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$30,272 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$11,723 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jim McGovern secured 68.6% of the vote in 2024 and faces no primary opposition as he seeks another term ahead of the September 2026 primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited Republican recruitment or funding in a district encompassing central Massachusetts areas like Worcester. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee just 5.5% implied probability, consistent with historical base rates for such districts. Shifts could occur only through unforeseen developments such as McGovern's retirement, a major scandal, or a national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$41,995Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jim McGovern secured 68.6% of the vote in 2024 and faces no primary opposition as he seeks another term ahead of the September 2026 primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited Republican recruitment or funding in a district encompassing central Massachusetts areas like Worcester. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee just 5.5% implied probability, consistent with historical base rates for such districts. Shifts could occur only through unforeseen developments such as McGovern's retirement, a major scandal, or a national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$41,995Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jim McGovern secured 68.6% of the vote in 2024 and faces no primary opposition as he seeks another term ahead of the September 2026 primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited Republican recruitment or funding in a district encompassing central Massachusetts areas like Worcester. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee just 5.5% implied probability, consistent with historical base rates for such districts. Shifts could occur only through unforeseen developments such as McGovern's retirement, a major scandal, or a national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage before the November 2026 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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