Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in the Hampton Roads region, where incumbent Representative Bobby Scott has held office since 1993 and won reelection with roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Scott faces minimal primary opposition, while Republican primary contender Edwin Rivera lacks statewide profile or fundraising momentum. Virginia's Supreme Court blocked a Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting amendment in May 2026, preserving the current map that reinforces the district's partisan tilt. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural advantages; a credible challenge would require either an unforeseen primary upset, a late-breaking scandal, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the seat's consistent double-digit Democratic margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-03
$36,750 Объем
$36,750 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$36,750 Объем
$36,750 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$20,078 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$16,672 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in the Hampton Roads region, where incumbent Representative Bobby Scott has held office since 1993 and won reelection with roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Scott faces minimal primary opposition, while Republican primary contender Edwin Rivera lacks statewide profile or fundraising momentum. Virginia's Supreme Court blocked a Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting amendment in May 2026, preserving the current map that reinforces the district's partisan tilt. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural advantages; a credible challenge would require either an unforeseen primary upset, a late-breaking scandal, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the seat's consistent double-digit Democratic margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$36,750Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in the Hampton Roads region, where incumbent Representative Bobby Scott has held office since 1993 and won reelection with roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Scott faces minimal primary opposition, while Republican primary contender Edwin Rivera lacks statewide profile or fundraising momentum. Virginia's Supreme Court blocked a Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting amendment in May 2026, preserving the current map that reinforces the district's partisan tilt. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural advantages; a credible challenge would require either an unforeseen primary upset, a late-breaking scandal, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the seat's consistent double-digit Democratic margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,750Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in the Hampton Roads region, where incumbent Representative Bobby Scott has held office since 1993 and won reelection with roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Scott faces minimal primary opposition, while Republican primary contender Edwin Rivera lacks statewide profile or fundraising momentum. Virginia's Supreme Court blocked a Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting amendment in May 2026, preserving the current map that reinforces the district's partisan tilt. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural advantages; a credible challenge would require either an unforeseen primary upset, a late-breaking scandal, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the seat's consistent double-digit Democratic margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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