Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition and alignment with the district's voter base in Norfolk and surrounding areas. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for these structural factors, while the 6.5% Republican share incorporates limited upside from a national environment shift, primary surprises, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-03
$35,435 Объем
$35,435 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$35,435 Объем
$35,435 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$20,078 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$15,357 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition and alignment with the district's voter base in Norfolk and surrounding areas. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for these structural factors, while the 6.5% Republican share incorporates limited upside from a national environment shift, primary surprises, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$35,435Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition and alignment with the district's voter base in Norfolk and surrounding areas. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for these structural factors, while the 6.5% Republican share incorporates limited upside from a national environment shift, primary surprises, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$35,435Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition and alignment with the district's voter base in Norfolk and surrounding areas. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for these structural factors, while the 6.5% Republican share incorporates limited upside from a national environment shift, primary surprises, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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