Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, her decisive primary victory in June 2026, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Berney Flowers, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces limited resources and weak historical performance for the party in this area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$45,882 Объем
$45,882 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сара Элфрет (Д)
96%
Берни Флауэрс (Р)
5%
$45,882 Объем
$45,882 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сара Элфрет (Д)
$20,975 Объем
96%
Берни Флауэрс (Р)
$24,908 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, her decisive primary victory in June 2026, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Berney Flowers, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces limited resources and weak historical performance for the party in this area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$45,882Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, her decisive primary victory in June 2026, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Berney Flowers, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces limited resources and weak historical performance for the party in this area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,882Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, her decisive primary victory in June 2026, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Berney Flowers, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces limited resources and weak historical performance for the party in this area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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