Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's dominant fundraising edge, with roughly 10 times more cash-on-hand than challenger Cori Bush per latest reports, drives trader consensus favoring him at 72% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4. This rematch follows Bell's 2024 primary upset over Bush, bolstered by his incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic St. Louis-based seat. A February Hit Strategies poll of likely voters showed a tight 44%-40% Bell lead, but his financial resources signal stronger path-to-victory amid early campaign momentum. Key watch: future polls, endorsements, and spending patterns ahead of the filing deadline aftermath.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУэсли Белл
73%
Кори Буш
28%
Уэсли Белл
73%
Кори Буш
28%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's dominant fundraising edge, with roughly 10 times more cash-on-hand than challenger Cori Bush per latest reports, drives trader consensus favoring him at 72% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4. This rematch follows Bell's 2024 primary upset over Bush, bolstered by his incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic St. Louis-based seat. A February Hit Strategies poll of likely voters showed a tight 44%-40% Bell lead, but his financial resources signal stronger path-to-victory amid early campaign momentum. Key watch: future polls, endorsements, and spending patterns ahead of the filing deadline aftermath.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы