United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 under a mixed system of 25 proportional representation seats and 25 single-member districts. Traders assign it over 96 percent probability based on the party's repeated majorities in prior cycles, including 27 of 50 seats in 2021, combined with federal alignment, superior candidate registration, and organizational reach across the region. Minor parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trail far behind on historical vote shares below 25 percent. Late developments that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition gains in specific districts, or delays in final tabulation, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUnited Russia 96.6%
CPRF 1.7%
New People <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$14,250 Объем
$14,250 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
97%
CPRF
2%
New People
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
United Russia 96.6%
CPRF 1.7%
New People <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$14,250 Объем
$14,250 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
$9,731 Объем
97%
CPRF
$1,299 Объем
2%
New People
$793 Объем
<1%
A Just Russia
$916 Объем
<1%
LDPR
$788 Объем
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$723 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 under a mixed system of 25 proportional representation seats and 25 single-member districts. Traders assign it over 96 percent probability based on the party's repeated majorities in prior cycles, including 27 of 50 seats in 2021, combined with federal alignment, superior candidate registration, and organizational reach across the region. Minor parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trail far behind on historical vote shares below 25 percent. Late developments that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition gains in specific districts, or delays in final tabulation, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Объем
$14,250Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 under a mixed system of 25 proportional representation seats and 25 single-member districts. Traders assign it over 96 percent probability based on the party's repeated majorities in prior cycles, including 27 of 50 seats in 2021, combined with federal alignment, superior candidate registration, and organizational reach across the region. Minor parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trail far behind on historical vote shares below 25 percent. Late developments that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition gains in specific districts, or delays in final tabulation, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Объем
$14,250Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 under a mixed system of 25 proportional representation seats and 25 single-member districts. Traders assign it over 96 percent probability based on the party's repeated majorities in prior cycles, including 27 of 50 seats in 2021, combined with federal alignment, superior candidate registration, and organizational reach across the region. Minor parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trail far behind on historical vote shares below 25 percent. Late developments that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition gains in specific districts, or delays in final tabulation, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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