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icon for Beaches—East York By-Election Winner

Beaches—East York By-Election Winner

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Beaches—East York By-Election Winner

Tanveer Shahnawaz 100.0%

Jocelyne Poirier <1%

Mike Layton <1%

Polymarket

$10,174 Объем

Tanveer Shahnawaz 100.0%

Jocelyne Poirier <1%

Mike Layton <1%

Polymarket

$10,174 Объем

icon for Tanveer Shahnawaz

Tanveer Shahnawaz

$8,569 Объем

Yes

icon for Jocelyne Poirier

Jocelyne Poirier

$742 Объем

No

icon for Mike Layton

Mike Layton

$862 Объем

No

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).Tanveer Shahnawaz secured a commanding position in the Beaches—East York by-election market after the August 31, 2026, vote delivered him roughly 55 percent support in the long-standing Liberal stronghold. As the former constituency office manager for outgoing MP Nate Erskine-Smith, Shahnawaz benefited from name recognition, community roots in areas such as Crescent Town, and seamless party continuity under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Other candidates, including NDP’s Shannon Devine and Conservative Jim Syrbos, trailed significantly in early and final counts. The market’s near-certain pricing for Shahnawaz reflects these confirmed results, though formal certification or any unforeseen procedural delays could still influence final resolution timing.

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Объем
$10,174
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:55 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).Tanveer Shahnawaz secured a commanding position in the Beaches—East York by-election market after the August 31, 2026, vote delivered him roughly 55 percent support in the long-standing Liberal stronghold. As the former constituency office manager for outgoing MP Nate Erskine-Smith, Shahnawaz benefited from name recognition, community roots in areas such as Crescent Town, and seamless party continuity under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Other candidates, including NDP’s Shannon Devine and Conservative Jim Syrbos, trailed significantly in early and final counts. The market’s near-certain pricing for Shahnawaz reflects these confirmed results, though formal certification or any unforeseen procedural delays could still influence final resolution timing.

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Объем
$10,174
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:55 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Beaches—East York By-Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Tanveer Shahnawaz» с 100%, за ним следует «Jocelyne Poirier» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Beaches—East York By-Election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.2K с момента запуска рынка Jul 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Beaches—East York By-Election Winner», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Beaches—East York By-Election Winner» — «Tanveer Shahnawaz» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Jocelyne Poirier» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Beaches—East York By-Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.