Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, in power following the 2025 federal election, faces a fixed election date no later than October 15, 2029, under the Canada Elections Act. An earlier dissolution remains possible on the prime minister’s advice or after losing a confidence vote in the House of Commons. As of early August 2026, however, Parliament continues with only by-elections scheduled for August 31, and no supply bill defeat or no-confidence motion has materialized. Recent polling has shown the Liberals holding a competitive or leading position, reducing immediate pressure for a snap contest before economic or international developments shift sentiment. Traders therefore assign low probability to an election being called by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of procedural triggers and the government’s current stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$92,371 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
6%
$92,371 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$714 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, in power following the 2025 federal election, faces a fixed election date no later than October 15, 2029, under the Canada Elections Act. An earlier dissolution remains possible on the prime minister’s advice or after losing a confidence vote in the House of Commons. As of early August 2026, however, Parliament continues with only by-elections scheduled for August 31, and no supply bill defeat or no-confidence motion has materialized. Recent polling has shown the Liberals holding a competitive or leading position, reducing immediate pressure for a snap contest before economic or international developments shift sentiment. Traders therefore assign low probability to an election being called by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of procedural triggers and the government’s current stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Объем
$92,371Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, in power following the 2025 federal election, faces a fixed election date no later than October 15, 2029, under the Canada Elections Act. An earlier dissolution remains possible on the prime minister’s advice or after losing a confidence vote in the House of Commons. As of early August 2026, however, Parliament continues with only by-elections scheduled for August 31, and no supply bill defeat or no-confidence motion has materialized. Recent polling has shown the Liberals holding a competitive or leading position, reducing immediate pressure for a snap contest before economic or international developments shift sentiment. Traders therefore assign low probability to an election being called by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of procedural triggers and the government’s current stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$92,371Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, in power following the 2025 federal election, faces a fixed election date no later than October 15, 2029, under the Canada Elections Act. An earlier dissolution remains possible on the prime minister’s advice or after losing a confidence vote in the House of Commons. As of early August 2026, however, Parliament continues with only by-elections scheduled for August 31, and no supply bill defeat or no-confidence motion has materialized. Recent polling has shown the Liberals holding a competitive or leading position, reducing immediate pressure for a snap contest before economic or international developments shift sentiment. Traders therefore assign low probability to an election being called by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of procedural triggers and the government’s current stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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