Canada’s 45th Parliament remains stable under Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, which holds a functional majority secured through prior floor-crossings and April 2026 by-election results. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date vote for October 15, 2029, and no supply or confidence motion has threatened dissolution since the last general election. Neither the governing party nor the opposition has signaled intent to force an early contest, and recent legislative activity has centered on economic updates, tax measures, and defense planning rather than parliamentary reset. With only weeks remaining until June 30, traders see negligible risk of an unforeseen constitutional trigger such as a sudden loss of House support or acute national emergency that would prompt the Governor General to dissolve Parliament before the statutory deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$83,674 Объем
$83,674 Объем
Да
$83,674 Объем
$83,674 Объем
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s 45th Parliament remains stable under Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, which holds a functional majority secured through prior floor-crossings and April 2026 by-election results. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date vote for October 15, 2029, and no supply or confidence motion has threatened dissolution since the last general election. Neither the governing party nor the opposition has signaled intent to force an early contest, and recent legislative activity has centered on economic updates, tax measures, and defense planning rather than parliamentary reset. With only weeks remaining until June 30, traders see negligible risk of an unforeseen constitutional trigger such as a sudden loss of House support or acute national emergency that would prompt the Governor General to dissolve Parliament before the statutory deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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