Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority, secured through April 2026 by-elections and floor-crossings, has eliminated immediate confidence risks in the House of Commons. Recent polling shows the party holding a 14-point national lead, its widest in years, driven by public support for Carney’s response to U.S. trade measures and efforts to diversify partnerships. The government is advancing an EU associate-membership proposal and related legislation, with Parliament set to debate the plan after summer recess. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives, remain focused on internal strategy sessions ahead of the fall sitting and lack leverage to trigger an early dissolution. Fixed-date rules point to October 2029, and no procedural triggers or polling reversals have emerged to alter the low probability of a snap election call in the near term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$95,438 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
5%
$95,438 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$3,781 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority, secured through April 2026 by-elections and floor-crossings, has eliminated immediate confidence risks in the House of Commons. Recent polling shows the party holding a 14-point national lead, its widest in years, driven by public support for Carney’s response to U.S. trade measures and efforts to diversify partnerships. The government is advancing an EU associate-membership proposal and related legislation, with Parliament set to debate the plan after summer recess. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives, remain focused on internal strategy sessions ahead of the fall sitting and lack leverage to trigger an early dissolution. Fixed-date rules point to October 2029, and no procedural triggers or polling reversals have emerged to alter the low probability of a snap election call in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Объем
$95,438Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority, secured through April 2026 by-elections and floor-crossings, has eliminated immediate confidence risks in the House of Commons. Recent polling shows the party holding a 14-point national lead, its widest in years, driven by public support for Carney’s response to U.S. trade measures and efforts to diversify partnerships. The government is advancing an EU associate-membership proposal and related legislation, with Parliament set to debate the plan after summer recess. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives, remain focused on internal strategy sessions ahead of the fall sitting and lack leverage to trigger an early dissolution. Fixed-date rules point to October 2029, and no procedural triggers or polling reversals have emerged to alter the low probability of a snap election call in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$95,438Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority, secured through April 2026 by-elections and floor-crossings, has eliminated immediate confidence risks in the House of Commons. Recent polling shows the party holding a 14-point national lead, its widest in years, driven by public support for Carney’s response to U.S. trade measures and efforts to diversify partnerships. The government is advancing an EU associate-membership proposal and related legislation, with Parliament set to debate the plan after summer recess. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives, remain focused on internal strategy sessions ahead of the fall sitting and lack leverage to trigger an early dissolution. Fixed-date rules point to October 2029, and no procedural triggers or polling reversals have emerged to alter the low probability of a snap election call in the near term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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