Recent polling consistently shows only 19-25% support among Albertans for advancing the October 19, 2026, referendum question that would authorize steps toward a binding independence vote, with 65-72% favoring remaining a province of Canada. Multiple surveys from Ipsos, Leger, Angus Reid, and others since May document this decline from earlier 2026 peaks near 28-35%. Court rulings have blocked separatist petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while Premier Danielle Smith has framed the process as strengthening provincial sovereignty inside Canada and stated her personal preference to stay. These factors have reinforced trader expectations that no independence referendum will pass by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
7% вероятность
$254,298 Объем
$254,298 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
7% вероятность
$254,298 Объем
$254,298 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling consistently shows only 19-25% support among Albertans for advancing the October 19, 2026, referendum question that would authorize steps toward a binding independence vote, with 65-72% favoring remaining a province of Canada. Multiple surveys from Ipsos, Leger, Angus Reid, and others since May document this decline from earlier 2026 peaks near 28-35%. Court rulings have blocked separatist petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while Premier Danielle Smith has framed the process as strengthening provincial sovereignty inside Canada and stated her personal preference to stay. These factors have reinforced trader expectations that no independence referendum will pass by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Объем
$254,298Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling consistently shows only 19-25% support among Albertans for advancing the October 19, 2026, referendum question that would authorize steps toward a binding independence vote, with 65-72% favoring remaining a province of Canada. Multiple surveys from Ipsos, Leger, Angus Reid, and others since May document this decline from earlier 2026 peaks near 28-35%. Court rulings have blocked separatist petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while Premier Danielle Smith has framed the process as strengthening provincial sovereignty inside Canada and stated her personal preference to stay. These factors have reinforced trader expectations that no independence referendum will pass by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$254,298Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling consistently shows only 19-25% support among Albertans for advancing the October 19, 2026, referendum question that would authorize steps toward a binding independence vote, with 65-72% favoring remaining a province of Canada. Multiple surveys from Ipsos, Leger, Angus Reid, and others since May document this decline from earlier 2026 peaks near 28-35%. Court rulings have blocked separatist petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while Premier Danielle Smith has framed the process as strengthening provincial sovereignty inside Canada and stated her personal preference to stay. These factors have reinforced trader expectations that no independence referendum will pass by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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