Diplomatic efforts and military operations in the Israel-Hamas conflict continue to shape assessments of foreign intervention in Gaza. Regional actors including Egypt and Qatar maintain mediation roles amid ongoing humanitarian access negotiations, while the United States provides security assistance without committing ground forces. No major escalations or new coalition announcements have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus reflecting structural barriers such as sovereignty concerns and alliance dynamics. Upcoming bilateral talks or UN sessions could introduce signals on troop contributions or peacekeeping proposals. The implied probability in related markets incorporates these steady-state conditions rather than near-term shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$649,254 Объем

30 июня
5%
$649,254 Объем

30 июня
5%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic efforts and military operations in the Israel-Hamas conflict continue to shape assessments of foreign intervention in Gaza. Regional actors including Egypt and Qatar maintain mediation roles amid ongoing humanitarian access negotiations, while the United States provides security assistance without committing ground forces. No major escalations or new coalition announcements have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus reflecting structural barriers such as sovereignty concerns and alliance dynamics. Upcoming bilateral talks or UN sessions could introduce signals on troop contributions or peacekeeping proposals. The implied probability in related markets incorporates these steady-state conditions rather than near-term shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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