**Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?** UN Security Council Resolution 2803 authorized a Board of Peace and International Stabilization Force in November 2025 to oversee phased IDF withdrawal, technocratic governance, and Hamas demilitarization under a U.S.-led framework. Deployment has stalled amid disputes over the force’s mandate, Hamas’s rejection of full disarmament, and limited troop pledges from potential contributors such as Indonesia and Türkiye. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s May 2026 directive to expand control over 70 percent of Gaza has further complicated second-phase implementation, while ceasefire violations and strikes continue. With the June 30 resolution window closing in days and no verified foreign security personnel on the ground, trader consensus prices the implied probability of qualifying intervention at roughly 5 percent Yes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$649,257 Объем

30 июня
7%
$649,257 Объем

30 июня
7%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?** UN Security Council Resolution 2803 authorized a Board of Peace and International Stabilization Force in November 2025 to oversee phased IDF withdrawal, technocratic governance, and Hamas demilitarization under a U.S.-led framework. Deployment has stalled amid disputes over the force’s mandate, Hamas’s rejection of full disarmament, and limited troop pledges from potential contributors such as Indonesia and Türkiye. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s May 2026 directive to expand control over 70 percent of Gaza has further complicated second-phase implementation, while ceasefire violations and strikes continue. With the June 30 resolution window closing in days and no verified foreign security personnel on the ground, trader consensus prices the implied probability of qualifying intervention at roughly 5 percent Yes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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