Trader consensus prices an 88.5% probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russia's president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his entrenched control via 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially extend rule until 2036, with his current six-year term running through 2030. No recent political challenges, elite defections, health issues, or coup signals have emerged; Putin remains publicly active, including a April 23 meeting with Kyrgyzstan's president and statements on Ukraine operations and Iran's leadership crisis in early March. Ongoing war in Ukraine sustains regime cohesion despite economic strains, with no snap elections or no-confidence mechanisms under Russia's presidential system to force early departure absent extraordinary upheaval. Late-breaking scandals or military setbacks could shift odds, but structural barriers favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПутин уйдет с поста президента России к 31 декабря 2026 года?
Путин уйдет с поста президента России к 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$4,270,274 Объем
$4,270,274 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
Да
$4,270,274 Объем
$4,270,274 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russia's president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his entrenched control via 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially extend rule until 2036, with his current six-year term running through 2030. No recent political challenges, elite defections, health issues, or coup signals have emerged; Putin remains publicly active, including a April 23 meeting with Kyrgyzstan's president and statements on Ukraine operations and Iran's leadership crisis in early March. Ongoing war in Ukraine sustains regime cohesion despite economic strains, with no snap elections or no-confidence mechanisms under Russia's presidential system to force early departure absent extraordinary upheaval. Late-breaking scandals or military setbacks could shift odds, but structural barriers favor continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Объем
$4,270,274Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russia's president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his entrenched control via 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially extend rule until 2036, with his current six-year term running through 2030. No recent political challenges, elite defections, health issues, or coup signals have emerged; Putin remains publicly active, including a April 23 meeting with Kyrgyzstan's president and statements on Ukraine operations and Iran's leadership crisis in early March. Ongoing war in Ukraine sustains regime cohesion despite economic strains, with no snap elections or no-confidence mechanisms under Russia's presidential system to force early departure absent extraordinary upheaval. Late-breaking scandals or military setbacks could shift odds, but structural barriers favor continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,270,274Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices an 88.5% probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russia's president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his entrenched control via 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially extend rule until 2036, with his current six-year term running through 2030. No recent political challenges, elite defections, health issues, or coup signals have emerged; Putin remains publicly active, including a April 23 meeting with Kyrgyzstan's president and statements on Ukraine operations and Iran's leadership crisis in early March. Ongoing war in Ukraine sustains regime cohesion despite economic strains, with no snap elections or no-confidence mechanisms under Russia's presidential system to force early departure absent extraordinary upheaval. Late-breaking scandals or military setbacks could shift odds, but structural barriers favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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