Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutional term extending to 2030—bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting limits for potential service until 2036—and his 2024 re-election victory capturing 88% of votes. Recent activity, including chairing a government videoconference on April 23 and meeting Kyrgyzstan's president, alongside the Kremlin's April 17 dismissal of health rumors, signals robust leadership continuity amid the Ukraine war, which sustains elite cohesion despite economic strains like the January VAT increase to 22%. No verified opposition surges, coups, or succession moves have emerged in the past 30 days, though unforeseen health events or military reversals could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПутин уйдет с поста президента России к 31 декабря 2026 года?
Путин уйдет с поста президента России к 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$4,270,274 Объем
$4,270,274 Объем
Да
$4,270,274 Объем
$4,270,274 Объем
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutional term extending to 2030—bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting limits for potential service until 2036—and his 2024 re-election victory capturing 88% of votes. Recent activity, including chairing a government videoconference on April 23 and meeting Kyrgyzstan's president, alongside the Kremlin's April 17 dismissal of health rumors, signals robust leadership continuity amid the Ukraine war, which sustains elite cohesion despite economic strains like the January VAT increase to 22%. No verified opposition surges, coups, or succession moves have emerged in the past 30 days, though unforeseen health events or military reversals could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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