Russia’s ongoing campaign in Ukraine continues to dominate its military resources, with recent assessments showing slowed territorial gains and a largely halted spring-summer 2026 offensive amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on energy and logistics targets. Economic strains, personnel shortages, and sustained Western sanctions limit Moscow’s capacity for a new conventional invasion elsewhere. Border incidents, such as the May 2026 drone incursion into Romania, reflect hybrid pressure rather than preparation for fresh conquests. Traders price the 91.5% “No” outcome on these constraints and the absence of credible indicators of imminent expansion beyond the current theater through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторгнется ли Россия в другую страну в 2026 году?
Да
$372,605 Объем
$372,605 Объем
Да
$372,605 Объем
$372,605 Объем
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s ongoing campaign in Ukraine continues to dominate its military resources, with recent assessments showing slowed territorial gains and a largely halted spring-summer 2026 offensive amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on energy and logistics targets. Economic strains, personnel shortages, and sustained Western sanctions limit Moscow’s capacity for a new conventional invasion elsewhere. Border incidents, such as the May 2026 drone incursion into Romania, reflect hybrid pressure rather than preparation for fresh conquests. Traders price the 91.5% “No” outcome on these constraints and the absence of credible indicators of imminent expansion beyond the current theater through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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