Russia’s military remains fully committed to incremental advances in eastern Ukraine, where forces recorded modest territorial gains of several square miles in July 2026 amid sustained missile, drone, and artillery operations. Kremlin statements emphasize achieving objectives in the existing conflict rather than opening new fronts, while diplomatic channels with the United States continue to explore peace frameworks. Ukrainian long-range strikes targeting Russian logistics, energy infrastructure, and occupied areas have further stretched Moscow’s resources. No verified preparations or official signals point to imminent operations against additional sovereign states, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% probability on “No.”
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторгнется ли Россия в другую страну в 2026 году?
Вторгнется ли Россия в другую страну в 2026 году?
Да
$371,525 Объем
$371,525 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$371,525 Объем
$371,525 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s military remains fully committed to incremental advances in eastern Ukraine, where forces recorded modest territorial gains of several square miles in July 2026 amid sustained missile, drone, and artillery operations. Kremlin statements emphasize achieving objectives in the existing conflict rather than opening new fronts, while diplomatic channels with the United States continue to explore peace frameworks. Ukrainian long-range strikes targeting Russian logistics, energy infrastructure, and occupied areas have further stretched Moscow’s resources. No verified preparations or official signals point to imminent operations against additional sovereign states, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Объем
$371,525Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s military remains fully committed to incremental advances in eastern Ukraine, where forces recorded modest territorial gains of several square miles in July 2026 amid sustained missile, drone, and artillery operations. Kremlin statements emphasize achieving objectives in the existing conflict rather than opening new fronts, while diplomatic channels with the United States continue to explore peace frameworks. Ukrainian long-range strikes targeting Russian logistics, energy infrastructure, and occupied areas have further stretched Moscow’s resources. No verified preparations or official signals point to imminent operations against additional sovereign states, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$371,525Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s military remains fully committed to incremental advances in eastern Ukraine, where forces recorded modest territorial gains of several square miles in July 2026 amid sustained missile, drone, and artillery operations. Kremlin statements emphasize achieving objectives in the existing conflict rather than opening new fronts, while diplomatic channels with the United States continue to explore peace frameworks. Ukrainian long-range strikes targeting Russian logistics, energy infrastructure, and occupied areas have further stretched Moscow’s resources. No verified preparations or official signals point to imminent operations against additional sovereign states, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% probability on “No.”
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы