Russia’s ongoing campaign in Ukraine continues to dominate its military resources, with recent assessments showing slowed territorial gains and a largely halted spring-summer 2026 offensive amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on energy and logistics targets. Economic strains, personnel shortages, and sustained Western sanctions limit Moscow’s capacity for a new conventional invasion elsewhere. Border incidents, such as the May 2026 drone incursion into Romania, reflect hybrid pressure rather than preparation for fresh conquests. Traders price the 91.5% “No” outcome on these constraints and the absence of credible indicators of imminent expansion beyond the current theater through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторгнется ли Россия в другую страну в 2026 году?
Вторгнется ли Россия в другую страну в 2026 году?
Да
$372,605 Объем
$372,605 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$372,605 Объем
$372,605 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s ongoing campaign in Ukraine continues to dominate its military resources, with recent assessments showing slowed territorial gains and a largely halted spring-summer 2026 offensive amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on energy and logistics targets. Economic strains, personnel shortages, and sustained Western sanctions limit Moscow’s capacity for a new conventional invasion elsewhere. Border incidents, such as the May 2026 drone incursion into Romania, reflect hybrid pressure rather than preparation for fresh conquests. Traders price the 91.5% “No” outcome on these constraints and the absence of credible indicators of imminent expansion beyond the current theater through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Объем
$372,605Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s ongoing campaign in Ukraine continues to dominate its military resources, with recent assessments showing slowed territorial gains and a largely halted spring-summer 2026 offensive amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on energy and logistics targets. Economic strains, personnel shortages, and sustained Western sanctions limit Moscow’s capacity for a new conventional invasion elsewhere. Border incidents, such as the May 2026 drone incursion into Romania, reflect hybrid pressure rather than preparation for fresh conquests. Traders price the 91.5% “No” outcome on these constraints and the absence of credible indicators of imminent expansion beyond the current theater through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$372,605Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s ongoing campaign in Ukraine continues to dominate its military resources, with recent assessments showing slowed territorial gains and a largely halted spring-summer 2026 offensive amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on energy and logistics targets. Economic strains, personnel shortages, and sustained Western sanctions limit Moscow’s capacity for a new conventional invasion elsewhere. Border incidents, such as the May 2026 drone incursion into Romania, reflect hybrid pressure rather than preparation for fresh conquests. Traders price the 91.5% “No” outcome on these constraints and the absence of credible indicators of imminent expansion beyond the current theater through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы