Diplomatic relations between the United States and Russia remain stalled one year after the 2025 Anchorage summit, with no agreement on Ukraine and recent bilateral calls yielding only commitments to further talks rather than scheduled face-to-face meetings. Trader pricing reflects this impasse, assigning the highest implied probability to no 2026 encounter by year-end amid escalating conflict and shifting U.S. priorities. China leads alternative venues due to its neutral diplomatic profile and role in multilateral forums that could facilitate discreet engagement, while U.S. hosting faces institutional and political constraints. Low probabilities for other locations, including Gulf states, Turkey, or EU countries, align with limited recent signals of high-level summit planning and the preference for established neutral ground when talks advance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГде Трамп и Путин встретятся в 2026 году?
Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в 2026 году?
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 60%
China 33%
United States 4.0%
Other <1%
$492,363 Объем
$492,363 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
60%
China
33%
United States
4%
Other
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 60%
China 33%
United States 4.0%
Other <1%
$492,363 Объем
$492,363 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
$98,601 Объем
60%
China
$62,257 Объем
33%
United States
$25,355 Объем
4%
Other
$18,160 Объем
1%
Gulf country
$17,282 Объем
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Объем
1%
Turkey
$25,095 Объем
1%
Russia
$66,497 Объем
1%
Switzerland
$20,685 Объем
<1%
Finland
$21,461 Объем
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 Объем
<1%
South Korea
$17,474 Объем
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Объем
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Объем
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic relations between the United States and Russia remain stalled one year after the 2025 Anchorage summit, with no agreement on Ukraine and recent bilateral calls yielding only commitments to further talks rather than scheduled face-to-face meetings. Trader pricing reflects this impasse, assigning the highest implied probability to no 2026 encounter by year-end amid escalating conflict and shifting U.S. priorities. China leads alternative venues due to its neutral diplomatic profile and role in multilateral forums that could facilitate discreet engagement, while U.S. hosting faces institutional and political constraints. Low probabilities for other locations, including Gulf states, Turkey, or EU countries, align with limited recent signals of high-level summit planning and the preference for established neutral ground when talks advance.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Объем
$492,363Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic relations between the United States and Russia remain stalled one year after the 2025 Anchorage summit, with no agreement on Ukraine and recent bilateral calls yielding only commitments to further talks rather than scheduled face-to-face meetings. Trader pricing reflects this impasse, assigning the highest implied probability to no 2026 encounter by year-end amid escalating conflict and shifting U.S. priorities. China leads alternative venues due to its neutral diplomatic profile and role in multilateral forums that could facilitate discreet engagement, while U.S. hosting faces institutional and political constraints. Low probabilities for other locations, including Gulf states, Turkey, or EU countries, align with limited recent signals of high-level summit planning and the preference for established neutral ground when talks advance.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$492,363Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Diplomatic relations between the United States and Russia remain stalled one year after the 2025 Anchorage summit, with no agreement on Ukraine and recent bilateral calls yielding only commitments to further talks rather than scheduled face-to-face meetings. Trader pricing reflects this impasse, assigning the highest implied probability to no 2026 encounter by year-end amid escalating conflict and shifting U.S. priorities. China leads alternative venues due to its neutral diplomatic profile and role in multilateral forums that could facilitate discreet engagement, while U.S. hosting faces institutional and political constraints. Low probabilities for other locations, including Gulf states, Turkey, or EU countries, align with limited recent signals of high-level summit planning and the preference for established neutral ground when talks advance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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