Recent stalled progress on Ukraine peace talks and shifting U.S. priorities, including sanctions threats and Iran tensions, have shaped trader consensus around a low likelihood of another Trump-Putin summit this year. Phone contacts continued into July 2026 without firm follow-through on earlier Helsinki plans, while a 2025 Alaska meeting remains the most recent in-person precedent. Markets reflect limited near-term diplomatic momentum amid competing NATO engagements and domestic U.S. focus. Neutral third-party venues like China appear as secondary options due to ongoing Xi-Putin coordination, though overall probabilities favor no additional bilateral meeting before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГде Трамп и Путин встретятся в 2026 году?
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 79%
China 14%
Russia 2.6%
United States 1.4%
$278,606 Объем
$278,606 Объем

Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
79%

China
14%

Russia
3%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 79%
China 14%
Russia 2.6%
United States 1.4%
$278,606 Объем
$278,606 Объем

Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
79%

China
14%

Russia
3%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stalled progress on Ukraine peace talks and shifting U.S. priorities, including sanctions threats and Iran tensions, have shaped trader consensus around a low likelihood of another Trump-Putin summit this year. Phone contacts continued into July 2026 without firm follow-through on earlier Helsinki plans, while a 2025 Alaska meeting remains the most recent in-person precedent. Markets reflect limited near-term diplomatic momentum amid competing NATO engagements and domestic U.S. focus. Neutral third-party venues like China appear as secondary options due to ongoing Xi-Putin coordination, though overall probabilities favor no additional bilateral meeting before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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