Stalled diplomacy over the Russia-Ukraine conflict has shaped trader consensus on the likelihood of another Trump-Putin meeting by year-end 2026. Their August 2025 summit in Anchorage produced no breakthrough or follow-up framework, and subsequent phone calls plus draft proposals yielded no further bilateral engagement amid frozen talks, new U.S. sanctions, and the lapse of prior arms-control measures. Recent reporting indicates growing White House skepticism toward Russian intentions, with no announced venues, summits, or third-country arrangements emerging despite ongoing mediation efforts. This environment keeps probabilities for a 2026 encounter low, reflecting the absence of scheduled catalysts that could shift momentum before December.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$128,913 Объем
September 30
3%
December 31
39%
$128,913 Объем
September 30
3%
December 31
39%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled diplomacy over the Russia-Ukraine conflict has shaped trader consensus on the likelihood of another Trump-Putin meeting by year-end 2026. Their August 2025 summit in Anchorage produced no breakthrough or follow-up framework, and subsequent phone calls plus draft proposals yielded no further bilateral engagement amid frozen talks, new U.S. sanctions, and the lapse of prior arms-control measures. Recent reporting indicates growing White House skepticism toward Russian intentions, with no announced venues, summits, or third-country arrangements emerging despite ongoing mediation efforts. This environment keeps probabilities for a 2026 encounter low, reflecting the absence of scheduled catalysts that could shift momentum before December.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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