United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election due to its control of the regional executive under Governor Andrey Chibis, who heads the party branch, combined with structural advantages in the parallel voting system of 10 proportional list seats and 18 single-member districts. The contest coincides with federal State Duma voting on the common election day of 18–20 September 2026, where aligned parties and incumbents typically consolidate support through established organizational networks. Trader consensus prices reflect this entrenched position and the absence of competitive opposition mobilization. Limited scenarios that could alter the outcome include coordinated elite defections, ballot access rulings, or sharp turnout shifts favoring smaller parties, though recent reporting shows no such developments materializing ahead of results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUnited Russia 97.1%
LDPR 1.3%
CPRF 1.3%
New People 1.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2027 г.
United Russia
97%
LDPR
1%
CPRF
1%
New People
1%
Party of Pensioners
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 97.1%
LDPR 1.3%
CPRF 1.3%
New People 1.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2027 г.
United Russia
$5,754 Объем
97%
LDPR
$232 Объем
1%
CPRF
$497 Объем
1%
New People
$248 Объем
1%
Party of Pensioners
$246 Объем
1%
A Just Russia
$440 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election due to its control of the regional executive under Governor Andrey Chibis, who heads the party branch, combined with structural advantages in the parallel voting system of 10 proportional list seats and 18 single-member districts. The contest coincides with federal State Duma voting on the common election day of 18–20 September 2026, where aligned parties and incumbents typically consolidate support through established organizational networks. Trader consensus prices reflect this entrenched position and the absence of competitive opposition mobilization. Limited scenarios that could alter the outcome include coordinated elite defections, ballot access rulings, or sharp turnout shifts favoring smaller parties, though recent reporting shows no such developments materializing ahead of results.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Объем
$7,416Дата окончания
1 авг. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election due to its control of the regional executive under Governor Andrey Chibis, who heads the party branch, combined with structural advantages in the parallel voting system of 10 proportional list seats and 18 single-member districts. The contest coincides with federal State Duma voting on the common election day of 18–20 September 2026, where aligned parties and incumbents typically consolidate support through established organizational networks. Trader consensus prices reflect this entrenched position and the absence of competitive opposition mobilization. Limited scenarios that could alter the outcome include coordinated elite defections, ballot access rulings, or sharp turnout shifts favoring smaller parties, though recent reporting shows no such developments materializing ahead of results.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Объем
$7,416Дата окончания
1 авг. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election due to its control of the regional executive under Governor Andrey Chibis, who heads the party branch, combined with structural advantages in the parallel voting system of 10 proportional list seats and 18 single-member districts. The contest coincides with federal State Duma voting on the common election day of 18–20 September 2026, where aligned parties and incumbents typically consolidate support through established organizational networks. Trader consensus prices reflect this entrenched position and the absence of competitive opposition mobilization. Limited scenarios that could alter the outcome include coordinated elite defections, ballot access rulings, or sharp turnout shifts favoring smaller parties, though recent reporting shows no such developments materializing ahead of results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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