US retail gasoline prices, currently averaging near $3.60–3.80 per gallon entering August 2026, face downward pressure from declining summer driving demand as the peak season ends and from elevated inventories that are pressuring crack spreads. Lower crude oil benchmarks, with WTI futures trading around $70–75 per barrel amid ample global supply, further weigh on pump prices, consistent with EIA forecasts averaging $3.80 per gallon for Q3. Milder weather and robust refinery output have supported stock builds, limiting upside volatility. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential hurricane-related supply disruptions in the Gulf, and any shifts in OPEC+ production that could alter crude dynamics before month-end resolution. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing lower thresholds with higher implied probabilities amid the seasonal transition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
↑ $5.00
6%
↑ $4.75
16%
↑ $4.50
32%
↑ $4.25
67%
↓ $3,90
48%
↓ $3,70
28%
↓ $3.50
13%
↓ $3.25
27%
↓ $3.00
24%
↓ $2.50
5%
$4,969 Объем
↑ $5.00
$1,466 Объем
6%
↑ $4.75
$70 Объем
16%
↑ $4.50
$564 Объем
32%
↑ $4.25
$1,121 Объем
67%
↓ $3,90
$181 Объем
48%
↓ $3,70
$1,327 Объем
28%
↓ $3.50
$22 Объем
13%
↓ $3.25
$0 Объем
27%
↓ $3.00
$0 Объем
24%
↓ $2.50
$218 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices, currently averaging near $3.60–3.80 per gallon entering August 2026, face downward pressure from declining summer driving demand as the peak season ends and from elevated inventories that are pressuring crack spreads. Lower crude oil benchmarks, with WTI futures trading around $70–75 per barrel amid ample global supply, further weigh on pump prices, consistent with EIA forecasts averaging $3.80 per gallon for Q3. Milder weather and robust refinery output have supported stock builds, limiting upside volatility. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential hurricane-related supply disruptions in the Gulf, and any shifts in OPEC+ production that could alter crude dynamics before month-end resolution. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing lower thresholds with higher implied probabilities amid the seasonal transition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Объем
$4,969Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices, currently averaging near $3.60–3.80 per gallon entering August 2026, face downward pressure from declining summer driving demand as the peak season ends and from elevated inventories that are pressuring crack spreads. Lower crude oil benchmarks, with WTI futures trading around $70–75 per barrel amid ample global supply, further weigh on pump prices, consistent with EIA forecasts averaging $3.80 per gallon for Q3. Milder weather and robust refinery output have supported stock builds, limiting upside volatility. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential hurricane-related supply disruptions in the Gulf, and any shifts in OPEC+ production that could alter crude dynamics before month-end resolution. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing lower thresholds with higher implied probabilities amid the seasonal transition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Объем
$4,969Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...US retail gasoline prices, currently averaging near $3.60–3.80 per gallon entering August 2026, face downward pressure from declining summer driving demand as the peak season ends and from elevated inventories that are pressuring crack spreads. Lower crude oil benchmarks, with WTI futures trading around $70–75 per barrel amid ample global supply, further weigh on pump prices, consistent with EIA forecasts averaging $3.80 per gallon for Q3. Milder weather and robust refinery output have supported stock builds, limiting upside volatility. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, potential hurricane-related supply disruptions in the Gulf, and any shifts in OPEC+ production that could alter crude dynamics before month-end resolution. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing lower thresholds with higher implied probabilities amid the seasonal transition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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