Incumbent Democrat Katherine Clark faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 2026 primary and holds a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. The district, encompassing eastern Massachusetts communities including parts of Cambridge and Framingham, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 points in recent cycles and last elected a Republican decades ago. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican nominee, or a historic national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,921 Объем
$26,921 Объем
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
22%
$26,921 Объем
$26,921 Объем
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
22%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Katherine Clark faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 2026 primary and holds a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20. The district, encompassing eastern Massachusetts communities including parts of Cambridge and Framingham, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 points in recent cycles and last elected a Republican decades ago. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican nominee, or a historic national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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