The Silicon Valley-based CA-16 district's strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic win in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Sam Liccardo holds a clear edge heading into the June 2 top-two primary against limited Republican opposition, consistent with the seat's historical voting patterns and rating as solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Fundraising data and candidate fields further reflect limited GOP viability in this urban, tech-oriented constituency. While the general election remains months away on November 3, a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current conditions show few signs of such disruption.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-16 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-16 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$76,668 Объем
$76,668 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$76,668 Объем
$76,668 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$49,124 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$27,544 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Silicon Valley-based CA-16 district's strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic win in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Sam Liccardo holds a clear edge heading into the June 2 top-two primary against limited Republican opposition, consistent with the seat's historical voting patterns and rating as solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Fundraising data and candidate fields further reflect limited GOP viability in this urban, tech-oriented constituency. While the general election remains months away on November 3, a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current conditions show few signs of such disruption.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$76,668Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Silicon Valley-based CA-16 district's strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic win in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Sam Liccardo holds a clear edge heading into the June 2 top-two primary against limited Republican opposition, consistent with the seat's historical voting patterns and rating as solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Fundraising data and candidate fields further reflect limited GOP viability in this urban, tech-oriented constituency. While the general election remains months away on November 3, a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current conditions show few signs of such disruption.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$76,668Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Silicon Valley-based CA-16 district's strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic win in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Sam Liccardo holds a clear edge heading into the June 2 top-two primary against limited Republican opposition, consistent with the seat's historical voting patterns and rating as solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Fundraising data and candidate fields further reflect limited GOP viability in this urban, tech-oriented constituency. While the general election remains months away on November 3, a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current conditions show few signs of such disruption.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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