Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Sundin Soulé in the November general election. The Silicon Valley-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, which aligns with multiple forecasters rating the contest solid or safe Democratic. Liccardo's established name recognition from prior service as San Jose mayor, combined with substantial fundraising and the absence of competitive opposition, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented district-level swing, potentially triggered only by a major late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political realignment of exceptional magnitude before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-16 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-16 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$106,983 Объем
$106,983 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
98%
Республиканская партия
2%
$106,983 Объем
$106,983 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$52,842 Объем
98%
Республиканская партия
$54,142 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Sundin Soulé in the November general election. The Silicon Valley-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, which aligns with multiple forecasters rating the contest solid or safe Democratic. Liccardo's established name recognition from prior service as San Jose mayor, combined with substantial fundraising and the absence of competitive opposition, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented district-level swing, potentially triggered only by a major late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political realignment of exceptional magnitude before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$106,983Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Sundin Soulé in the November general election. The Silicon Valley-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, which aligns with multiple forecasters rating the contest solid or safe Democratic. Liccardo's established name recognition from prior service as San Jose mayor, combined with substantial fundraising and the absence of competitive opposition, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented district-level swing, potentially triggered only by a major late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political realignment of exceptional magnitude before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$106,983Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Sundin Soulé in the November general election. The Silicon Valley-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, which aligns with multiple forecasters rating the contest solid or safe Democratic. Liccardo's established name recognition from prior service as San Jose mayor, combined with substantial fundraising and the absence of competitive opposition, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented district-level swing, potentially triggered only by a major late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political realignment of exceptional magnitude before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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