The WI-04 district, encompassing Milwaukee and its suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004, secured roughly 75% of the vote in 2024, and the seat carries a Solid D rating from multiple forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. With primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, and filing deadlines already passed, multiple Democratic contenders face limited Republican opposition in a district where structural factors favor one party. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for Democrats captures this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as candidate scandals, court-ordered redistricting shifts, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter outcomes before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$28,045 Объем
$28,045 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
5%
$28,045 Объем
$28,045 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,837 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$19,208 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-04 district, encompassing Milwaukee and its suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004, secured roughly 75% of the vote in 2024, and the seat carries a Solid D rating from multiple forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. With primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, and filing deadlines already passed, multiple Democratic contenders face limited Republican opposition in a district where structural factors favor one party. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for Democrats captures this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as candidate scandals, court-ordered redistricting shifts, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter outcomes before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$28,045Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-04 district, encompassing Milwaukee and its suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004, secured roughly 75% of the vote in 2024, and the seat carries a Solid D rating from multiple forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. With primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, and filing deadlines already passed, multiple Democratic contenders face limited Republican opposition in a district where structural factors favor one party. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for Democrats captures this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as candidate scandals, court-ordered redistricting shifts, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter outcomes before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$28,045Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The WI-04 district, encompassing Milwaukee and its suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004, secured roughly 75% of the vote in 2024, and the seat carries a Solid D rating from multiple forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. With primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, and filing deadlines already passed, multiple Democratic contenders face limited Republican opposition in a district where structural factors favor one party. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for Democrats captures this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as candidate scandals, court-ordered redistricting shifts, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter outcomes before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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