**Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race as the Republican incumbent seeking a full term in the heavily Republican northeastern Wisconsin district, which has not elected a Democrat since 2008.** Wied advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning the 2024 special and general elections with roughly 57-60% of the vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan tilt and the district’s rural and suburban composition around Green Bay and Appleton. Democrat Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former Green Bay school board member, narrowly won a three-way August primary but faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout general election environment. Trader consensus at 92% for Wied reflects these baseline advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the race. A significant national political realignment, late scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$21,525 Объем
$21,525 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Тони Вид (Р)
91%
Рик Кроссон (Д)
9%
$21,525 Объем
$21,525 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Тони Вид (Р)
$14,286 Объем
91%
Рик Кроссон (Д)
$7,239 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race as the Republican incumbent seeking a full term in the heavily Republican northeastern Wisconsin district, which has not elected a Democrat since 2008.** Wied advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning the 2024 special and general elections with roughly 57-60% of the vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan tilt and the district’s rural and suburban composition around Green Bay and Appleton. Democrat Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former Green Bay school board member, narrowly won a three-way August primary but faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout general election environment. Trader consensus at 92% for Wied reflects these baseline advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the race. A significant national political realignment, late scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$21,525Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race as the Republican incumbent seeking a full term in the heavily Republican northeastern Wisconsin district, which has not elected a Democrat since 2008.** Wied advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning the 2024 special and general elections with roughly 57-60% of the vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan tilt and the district’s rural and suburban composition around Green Bay and Appleton. Democrat Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former Green Bay school board member, narrowly won a three-way August primary but faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout general election environment. Trader consensus at 92% for Wied reflects these baseline advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the race. A significant national political realignment, late scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,525Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...**Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race as the Republican incumbent seeking a full term in the heavily Republican northeastern Wisconsin district, which has not elected a Democrat since 2008.** Wied advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning the 2024 special and general elections with roughly 57-60% of the vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan tilt and the district’s rural and suburban composition around Green Bay and Appleton. Democrat Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former Green Bay school board member, narrowly won a three-way August primary but faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout general election environment. Trader consensus at 92% for Wied reflects these baseline advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the race. A significant national political realignment, late scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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