Wisconsin's 8th congressional district maintains a Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, which underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77%. Incumbent Tony Wied, first elected in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles covering northeastern Wisconsin. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican despite a broader midterm environment that could favor Democrats nationally. Democratic primary contenders remain early-stage with limited resources ahead of the August 11 contests, and no major polling shifts or candidate developments have altered positioning since filing closed in early June. The November general election timeline leaves room for late-cycle national factors to influence turnout but reinforces the current structural edge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
77%
Демократическая партия
23%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$4,171 Объем
77%
Демократическая партия
$4,035 Объем
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 8th congressional district maintains a Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, which underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77%. Incumbent Tony Wied, first elected in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles covering northeastern Wisconsin. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican despite a broader midterm environment that could favor Democrats nationally. Democratic primary contenders remain early-stage with limited resources ahead of the August 11 contests, and no major polling shifts or candidate developments have altered positioning since filing closed in early June. The November general election timeline leaves room for late-cycle national factors to influence turnout but reinforces the current structural edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$8,207Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 8th congressional district maintains a Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, which underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77%. Incumbent Tony Wied, first elected in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles covering northeastern Wisconsin. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican despite a broader midterm environment that could favor Democrats nationally. Democratic primary contenders remain early-stage with limited resources ahead of the August 11 contests, and no major polling shifts or candidate developments have altered positioning since filing closed in early June. The November general election timeline leaves room for late-cycle national factors to influence turnout but reinforces the current structural edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,207Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 8th congressional district maintains a Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, which underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77%. Incumbent Tony Wied, first elected in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles covering northeastern Wisconsin. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican despite a broader midterm environment that could favor Democrats nationally. Democratic primary contenders remain early-stage with limited resources ahead of the August 11 contests, and no major polling shifts or candidate developments have altered positioning since filing closed in early June. The November general election timeline leaves room for late-cycle national factors to influence turnout but reinforces the current structural edge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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