Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who won the seat in 2024 with 57 percent, faces a Democratic primary field of four candidates ahead of the August 11 contest in Wisconsin’s 8th District, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with an R+8 partisan voting index. Traders assign Republicans a 77 percent implied probability because the northeastern Wisconsin district encompassing Green Bay and Appleton has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, and Wied has leveraged his position to deliver district-specific appropriations and farm bill provisions. No major polling or late developments have altered the outlook in the past month, though national generic ballot surveys showing a modest Democratic edge could influence turnout dynamics closer to the November 3 general election. The 23 percent Democratic odds reflect the party’s structural challenges in flipping an R+8 seat absent a significant shift in the political environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
77%
Демократическая партия
23%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$4,171 Объем
77%
Демократическая партия
$4,035 Объем
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who won the seat in 2024 with 57 percent, faces a Democratic primary field of four candidates ahead of the August 11 contest in Wisconsin’s 8th District, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with an R+8 partisan voting index. Traders assign Republicans a 77 percent implied probability because the northeastern Wisconsin district encompassing Green Bay and Appleton has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, and Wied has leveraged his position to deliver district-specific appropriations and farm bill provisions. No major polling or late developments have altered the outlook in the past month, though national generic ballot surveys showing a modest Democratic edge could influence turnout dynamics closer to the November 3 general election. The 23 percent Democratic odds reflect the party’s structural challenges in flipping an R+8 seat absent a significant shift in the political environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$8,207Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who won the seat in 2024 with 57 percent, faces a Democratic primary field of four candidates ahead of the August 11 contest in Wisconsin’s 8th District, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with an R+8 partisan voting index. Traders assign Republicans a 77 percent implied probability because the northeastern Wisconsin district encompassing Green Bay and Appleton has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, and Wied has leveraged his position to deliver district-specific appropriations and farm bill provisions. No major polling or late developments have altered the outlook in the past month, though national generic ballot surveys showing a modest Democratic edge could influence turnout dynamics closer to the November 3 general election. The 23 percent Democratic odds reflect the party’s structural challenges in flipping an R+8 seat absent a significant shift in the political environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,207Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who won the seat in 2024 with 57 percent, faces a Democratic primary field of four candidates ahead of the August 11 contest in Wisconsin’s 8th District, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with an R+8 partisan voting index. Traders assign Republicans a 77 percent implied probability because the northeastern Wisconsin district encompassing Green Bay and Appleton has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, and Wied has leveraged his position to deliver district-specific appropriations and farm bill provisions. No major polling or late developments have altered the outlook in the past month, though national generic ballot surveys showing a modest Democratic edge could influence turnout dynamics closer to the November 3 general election. The 23 percent Democratic odds reflect the party’s structural challenges in flipping an R+8 seat absent a significant shift in the political environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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