**The Wisconsin 7th Congressional District is a strongly Republican-leaning seat (R+11 partisan voting index) covering rural and northern areas of the state, where Donald Trump carried it by roughly 22 points in 2024.** Incumbent Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor has left the seat open for the November 3, 2026 general election, with primaries scheduled for August 11. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s consistent voting history and structural advantages for GOP candidates. A crowded Republican primary features frontrunner Michael Alfonso, who holds a Trump endorsement and leads early polling and fundraising, alongside Jessi Ebben and others. The Democratic primary field (including Chris Armstrong and Fred Clark) remains comparatively low-profile with limited resources. Recent developments center on candidate residency adjustments, signature filings for ballot access, and primary positioning, none of which have altered the district’s underlying partisan tilt. Trader consensus at 82.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar open seats in Republican-leaning districts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$20,019 Объем
$20,019 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
83%
Демократическая партия
18%
$20,019 Объем
$20,019 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,500 Объем
83%
Демократическая партия
$10,519 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The Wisconsin 7th Congressional District is a strongly Republican-leaning seat (R+11 partisan voting index) covering rural and northern areas of the state, where Donald Trump carried it by roughly 22 points in 2024.** Incumbent Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor has left the seat open for the November 3, 2026 general election, with primaries scheduled for August 11. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s consistent voting history and structural advantages for GOP candidates.
A crowded Republican primary features frontrunner Michael Alfonso, who holds a Trump endorsement and leads early polling and fundraising, alongside Jessi Ebben and others. The Democratic primary field (including Chris Armstrong and Fred Clark) remains comparatively low-profile with limited resources. Recent developments center on candidate residency adjustments, signature filings for ballot access, and primary positioning, none of which have altered the district’s underlying partisan tilt. Trader consensus at 82.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar open seats in Republican-leaning districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$20,019Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The Wisconsin 7th Congressional District is a strongly Republican-leaning seat (R+11 partisan voting index) covering rural and northern areas of the state, where Donald Trump carried it by roughly 22 points in 2024.** Incumbent Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor has left the seat open for the November 3, 2026 general election, with primaries scheduled for August 11. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s consistent voting history and structural advantages for GOP candidates.
A crowded Republican primary features frontrunner Michael Alfonso, who holds a Trump endorsement and leads early polling and fundraising, alongside Jessi Ebben and others. The Democratic primary field (including Chris Armstrong and Fred Clark) remains comparatively low-profile with limited resources. Recent developments center on candidate residency adjustments, signature filings for ballot access, and primary positioning, none of which have altered the district’s underlying partisan tilt. Trader consensus at 82.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar open seats in Republican-leaning districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,019Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Wisconsin 7th Congressional District is a strongly Republican-leaning seat (R+11 partisan voting index) covering rural and northern areas of the state, where Donald Trump carried it by roughly 22 points in 2024.** Incumbent Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor has left the seat open for the November 3, 2026 general election, with primaries scheduled for August 11. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s consistent voting history and structural advantages for GOP candidates. A crowded Republican primary features frontrunner Michael Alfonso, who holds a Trump endorsement and leads early polling and fundraising, alongside Jessi Ebben and others. The Democratic primary field (including Chris Armstrong and Fred Clark) remains comparatively low-profile with limited resources. Recent developments center on candidate residency adjustments, signature filings for ballot access, and primary positioning, none of which have altered the district’s underlying partisan tilt. Trader consensus at 82.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar open seats in Republican-leaning districts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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