The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. This structural advantage, reinforced by the seat's 63.6% Republican margin in 2024, drives the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Primary contenders on August 11 include Michael Alfonso, who secured an early Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising, alongside other Republicans, while Democrats field a competitive but under-resourced primary field. No major polling shifts or external events have altered the district's partisan baseline in recent months, leaving limited pathways for a Democratic general-election upset on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$20,024 Объем
$20,024 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
83%
Демократическая партия
18%
$20,024 Объем
$20,024 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,505 Объем
83%
Демократическая партия
$10,519 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. This structural advantage, reinforced by the seat's 63.6% Republican margin in 2024, drives the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Primary contenders on August 11 include Michael Alfonso, who secured an early Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising, alongside other Republicans, while Democrats field a competitive but under-resourced primary field. No major polling shifts or external events have altered the district's partisan baseline in recent months, leaving limited pathways for a Democratic general-election upset on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$20,024Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. This structural advantage, reinforced by the seat's 63.6% Republican margin in 2024, drives the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Primary contenders on August 11 include Michael Alfonso, who secured an early Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising, alongside other Republicans, while Democrats field a competitive but under-resourced primary field. No major polling shifts or external events have altered the district's partisan baseline in recent months, leaving limited pathways for a Democratic general-election upset on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,024Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. This structural advantage, reinforced by the seat's 63.6% Republican margin in 2024, drives the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Primary contenders on August 11 include Michael Alfonso, who secured an early Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising, alongside other Republicans, while Democrats field a competitive but under-resourced primary field. No major polling shifts or external events have altered the district's partisan baseline in recent months, leaving limited pathways for a Democratic general-election upset on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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