Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented multiparty field under proportional representation, leaving the contest for third-most seats in the 395-member House of Representatives tightly balanced among Istiqlal (PI), RNI, PAM, PJD, and several smaller lists. Trader consensus prices PI highest for third place while assigning comparable odds to a broad group of mid-tier contenders because recent candidate filings, regional lists, and coalition maneuvering have not produced clear separation in expected seat totals. Lingering effects from the Gen Z 212 protests, expectations of elevated abstention, and a campaign centered on economic pledges plus territorial issues have further diffused support. Late-campaign turnout patterns in urban and rural districts, final coalition signals, or shifts in youth mobilization could still reorder the middle rankings before results are certified.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPI 58%
RNI 21%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.2%
$40,730 Объем
$40,730 Объем
23 сент. 2026 г.
PI
58%
RNI
21%
PJD
8%
PAM
4%
USFP
<1%
UC
<1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PI 58%
RNI 21%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.2%
$40,730 Объем
$40,730 Объем
23 сент. 2026 г.
PI
$19,898 Объем
58%
RNI
$15,817 Объем
21%
PJD
$1,072 Объем
8%
PAM
$1,385 Объем
4%
USFP
$916 Объем
<1%
UC
$536 Объем
<1%
MP
$568 Объем
<1%
PPS
$537 Объем
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented multiparty field under proportional representation, leaving the contest for third-most seats in the 395-member House of Representatives tightly balanced among Istiqlal (PI), RNI, PAM, PJD, and several smaller lists. Trader consensus prices PI highest for third place while assigning comparable odds to a broad group of mid-tier contenders because recent candidate filings, regional lists, and coalition maneuvering have not produced clear separation in expected seat totals. Lingering effects from the Gen Z 212 protests, expectations of elevated abstention, and a campaign centered on economic pledges plus territorial issues have further diffused support. Late-campaign turnout patterns in urban and rural districts, final coalition signals, or shifts in youth mobilization could still reorder the middle rankings before results are certified.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Объем
$40,730Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented multiparty field under proportional representation, leaving the contest for third-most seats in the 395-member House of Representatives tightly balanced among Istiqlal (PI), RNI, PAM, PJD, and several smaller lists. Trader consensus prices PI highest for third place while assigning comparable odds to a broad group of mid-tier contenders because recent candidate filings, regional lists, and coalition maneuvering have not produced clear separation in expected seat totals. Lingering effects from the Gen Z 212 protests, expectations of elevated abstention, and a campaign centered on economic pledges plus territorial issues have further diffused support. Late-campaign turnout patterns in urban and rural districts, final coalition signals, or shifts in youth mobilization could still reorder the middle rankings before results are certified.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$40,730Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented multiparty field under proportional representation, leaving the contest for third-most seats in the 395-member House of Representatives tightly balanced among Istiqlal (PI), RNI, PAM, PJD, and several smaller lists. Trader consensus prices PI highest for third place while assigning comparable odds to a broad group of mid-tier contenders because recent candidate filings, regional lists, and coalition maneuvering have not produced clear separation in expected seat totals. Lingering effects from the Gen Z 212 protests, expectations of elevated abstention, and a campaign centered on economic pledges plus territorial issues have further diffused support. Late-campaign turnout patterns in urban and rural districts, final coalition signals, or shifts in youth mobilization could still reorder the middle rankings before results are certified.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы