Michigan's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, favors the eventual Democratic nominee at 71.5% because the state has not elected a Republican senator since 1994 and recent general-election polling shows Democratic candidates ahead of presumptive Republican nominee Mike Rogers by 1–7 points. The August 4 Democratic primary remains competitive among Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed, with late-May and early-June surveys indicating a tight three-way contest and heavy outside spending from aligned PACs. These dynamics, combined with Michigan's battleground profile and suburban turnout patterns, underpin trader expectations of a Democratic hold despite the lack of an incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Мичигана
$116,679 Объем
$116,679 Объем

Демократ
72%

Республиканец
28%
$116,679 Объем
$116,679 Объем

Демократ
72%

Республиканец
28%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, favors the eventual Democratic nominee at 71.5% because the state has not elected a Republican senator since 1994 and recent general-election polling shows Democratic candidates ahead of presumptive Republican nominee Mike Rogers by 1–7 points. The August 4 Democratic primary remains competitive among Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed, with late-May and early-June surveys indicating a tight three-way contest and heavy outside spending from aligned PACs. These dynamics, combined with Michigan's battleground profile and suburban turnout patterns, underpin trader expectations of a Democratic hold despite the lack of an incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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