Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow withdrew, positioning the progressive former public health official as the party's standard-bearer in this open-seat contest vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side, backed by a Trump endorsement following his 2024 Senate bid. The general election matchup remains competitive in the swing state, with recent polling averages showing Rogers holding a slim edge or near tie amid efforts by both campaigns to consolidate support and target key voting blocs. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's demonstrated primary coalition and Democratic structural advantages in the state against Rogers' experience and the tight presidential results from 2024, keeping implied probabilities closely balanced ahead of November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Мичигана
Победитель выборов в Сенат Мичигана
$293,163 Объем
$293,163 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Абдул Эль-Сайед (Д)
59%
Майк Роджерс (Р)
43%
$293,163 Объем
$293,163 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Абдул Эль-Сайед (Д)
$151,650 Объем
59%
Майк Роджерс (Р)
$141,513 Объем
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow withdrew, positioning the progressive former public health official as the party's standard-bearer in this open-seat contest vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side, backed by a Trump endorsement following his 2024 Senate bid. The general election matchup remains competitive in the swing state, with recent polling averages showing Rogers holding a slim edge or near tie amid efforts by both campaigns to consolidate support and target key voting blocs. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's demonstrated primary coalition and Democratic structural advantages in the state against Rogers' experience and the tight presidential results from 2024, keeping implied probabilities closely balanced ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$293,163Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow withdrew, positioning the progressive former public health official as the party's standard-bearer in this open-seat contest vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side, backed by a Trump endorsement following his 2024 Senate bid. The general election matchup remains competitive in the swing state, with recent polling averages showing Rogers holding a slim edge or near tie amid efforts by both campaigns to consolidate support and target key voting blocs. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's demonstrated primary coalition and Democratic structural advantages in the state against Rogers' experience and the tight presidential results from 2024, keeping implied probabilities closely balanced ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$293,163Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow withdrew, positioning the progressive former public health official as the party's standard-bearer in this open-seat contest vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side, backed by a Trump endorsement following his 2024 Senate bid. The general election matchup remains competitive in the swing state, with recent polling averages showing Rogers holding a slim edge or near tie amid efforts by both campaigns to consolidate support and target key voting blocs. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's demonstrated primary coalition and Democratic structural advantages in the state against Rogers' experience and the tight presidential results from 2024, keeping implied probabilities closely balanced ahead of November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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