Texas's Republican partisan lean underpins the market's modest edge for the GOP nominee in the 2026 Senate race, where the state has consistently delivered Republican victories in federal contests. The Democratic primary produced state Representative James Talarico as nominee, while Republicans head to a May 26 runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton following a tight March primary. Recent general-election polling shows narrow margins between either Republican and Talarico, with one survey placing Cornyn ahead by a single point. Donald Trump's May 19 endorsement of Paxton highlights the party's internal divide between establishment and Trump-aligned voters, yet the overall Republican structural advantage sustains trader pricing near current levels ahead of the runoff outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
$246,053 Объем
$246,053 Объем

Республиканец
55%

Демократ
45%
$246,053 Объем
$246,053 Объем

Республиканец
55%

Демократ
45%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's Republican partisan lean underpins the market's modest edge for the GOP nominee in the 2026 Senate race, where the state has consistently delivered Republican victories in federal contests. The Democratic primary produced state Representative James Talarico as nominee, while Republicans head to a May 26 runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton following a tight March primary. Recent general-election polling shows narrow margins between either Republican and Talarico, with one survey placing Cornyn ahead by a single point. Donald Trump's May 19 endorsement of Paxton highlights the party's internal divide between establishment and Trump-aligned voters, yet the overall Republican structural advantage sustains trader pricing near current levels ahead of the runoff outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы