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Политика·Выборы в США

Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса

icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
Политика·Выборы в США

Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса

$246,053 Объем

Polymarket

$246,053 Объем

icon for Республиканец

Республиканец

$135,923 Объем

55%

icon for Демократ

Демократ

$110,131 Объем

45%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas's Republican partisan lean underpins the market's modest edge for the GOP nominee in the 2026 Senate race, where the state has consistently delivered Republican victories in federal contests. The Democratic primary produced state Representative James Talarico as nominee, while Republicans head to a May 26 runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton following a tight March primary. Recent general-election polling shows narrow margins between either Republican and Talarico, with one survey placing Cornyn ahead by a single point. Donald Trump's May 19 endorsement of Paxton highlights the party's internal divide between establishment and Trump-aligned voters, yet the overall Republican structural advantage sustains trader pricing near current levels ahead of the runoff outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$246,053
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas's Republican partisan lean underpins the market's modest edge for the GOP nominee in the 2026 Senate race, where the state has consistently delivered Republican victories in federal contests. The Democratic primary produced state Representative James Talarico as nominee, while Republicans head to a May 26 runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton following a tight March primary. Recent general-election polling shows narrow margins between either Republican and Talarico, with one survey placing Cornyn ahead by a single point. Donald Trump's May 19 endorsement of Paxton highlights the party's internal divide between establishment and Trump-aligned voters, yet the overall Republican structural advantage sustains trader pricing near current levels ahead of the runoff outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$246,053
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканец» с 55%, за ним следует «Демократ» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 55¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 55%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $246.1K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса» — «Республиканец» с 55%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 55%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократ» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.