Ken Paxton’s decisive victory in the May 26 Republican primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn, bolstered by a late endorsement from President Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the clear favorite among traders for the November general election. The state’s longstanding Republican tilt in Senate contests underpins this consensus, even as Democratic nominee James Talarico, who secured his party’s nomination earlier, highlights Paxton’s legal challenges and launches attack ads framing the race around corruption concerns. Recent exchanges of negative advertising and personal critiques from both campaigns, alongside a new poll showing Talarico narrowly ahead, illustrate the competitive dynamics that continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
$406,751 Объем
$406,751 Объем

Кен Пакстон (Р)
61%

Джеймс Таларико (Д)
40%
$406,751 Объем
$406,751 Объем

Кен Пакстон (Р)
61%

Джеймс Таларико (Д)
40%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ken Paxton’s decisive victory in the May 26 Republican primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn, bolstered by a late endorsement from President Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the clear favorite among traders for the November general election. The state’s longstanding Republican tilt in Senate contests underpins this consensus, even as Democratic nominee James Talarico, who secured his party’s nomination earlier, highlights Paxton’s legal challenges and launches attack ads framing the race around corruption concerns. Recent exchanges of negative advertising and personal critiques from both campaigns, alongside a new poll showing Talarico narrowly ahead, illustrate the competitive dynamics that continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы