Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and delivered him 58% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its Iron Range and rural character plus the structural advantages of incumbency, including name recognition, fundraising, and recent House passage of legislation he sponsored. Multiple Democrats are competing in the August 11 primary, but none has emerged as a clear frontrunner capable of overcoming the district’s partisan lean. Stauber faces only token primary opposition and retains endorsements from party leaders. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 73% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-08
$14,811 Объем
$14,811 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
73%
Демократическая партия
27%
$14,811 Объем
$14,811 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$7,561 Объем
73%
Демократическая партия
$7,250 Объем
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and delivered him 58% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its Iron Range and rural character plus the structural advantages of incumbency, including name recognition, fundraising, and recent House passage of legislation he sponsored. Multiple Democrats are competing in the August 11 primary, but none has emerged as a clear frontrunner capable of overcoming the district’s partisan lean. Stauber faces only token primary opposition and retains endorsements from party leaders. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 73% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$14,811Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and delivered him 58% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its Iron Range and rural character plus the structural advantages of incumbency, including name recognition, fundraising, and recent House passage of legislation he sponsored. Multiple Democrats are competing in the August 11 primary, but none has emerged as a clear frontrunner capable of overcoming the district’s partisan lean. Stauber faces only token primary opposition and retains endorsements from party leaders. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 73% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,811Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and delivered him 58% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its Iron Range and rural character plus the structural advantages of incumbency, including name recognition, fundraising, and recent House passage of legislation he sponsored. Multiple Democrats are competing in the August 11 primary, but none has emerged as a clear frontrunner capable of overcoming the district’s partisan lean. Stauber faces only token primary opposition and retains endorsements from party leaders. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 73% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы