Republican incumbent Pete Stauber faces limited opposition in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, where the seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 14 points in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral lean and Stauber’s established incumbency since 2019. The August 11 primaries feature Stauber against a minor Republican challenger and three Democratic candidates, none of whom have shifted the race into competitive territory. With no major recent scandals, polling shifts, or national wave signals altering the fundamentals, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 86.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-08
$20,226 Объем
$20,226 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
87%
Демократическая партия
10%
$20,226 Объем
$20,226 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$10,772 Объем
87%
Демократическая партия
$9,454 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pete Stauber faces limited opposition in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, where the seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 14 points in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral lean and Stauber’s established incumbency since 2019. The August 11 primaries feature Stauber against a minor Republican challenger and three Democratic candidates, none of whom have shifted the race into competitive territory. With no major recent scandals, polling shifts, or national wave signals altering the fundamentals, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 86.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$20,226Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pete Stauber faces limited opposition in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, where the seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 14 points in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral lean and Stauber’s established incumbency since 2019. The August 11 primaries feature Stauber against a minor Republican challenger and three Democratic candidates, none of whom have shifted the race into competitive territory. With no major recent scandals, polling shifts, or national wave signals altering the fundamentals, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 86.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,226Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Pete Stauber faces limited opposition in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, where the seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 14 points in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral lean and Stauber’s established incumbency since 2019. The August 11 primaries feature Stauber against a minor Republican challenger and three Democratic candidates, none of whom have shifted the race into competitive territory. With no major recent scandals, polling shifts, or national wave signals altering the fundamentals, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 86.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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