Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin seeks re-election in Maryland's 8th congressional district, a solidly Democratic area centered in Montgomery County suburbs of Washington, D.C. Raskin won the 2024 general election with 76.8% of the vote and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary. Republican candidates remain fragmented with limited fundraising and visibility in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.1% implied probability, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan registration, and historical voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate strength within the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$14,688 Объем
$14,688 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
$14,688 Объем
$14,688 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,455 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$8,232 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin seeks re-election in Maryland's 8th congressional district, a solidly Democratic area centered in Montgomery County suburbs of Washington, D.C. Raskin won the 2024 general election with 76.8% of the vote and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary. Republican candidates remain fragmented with limited fundraising and visibility in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.1% implied probability, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan registration, and historical voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate strength within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$14,688Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin seeks re-election in Maryland's 8th congressional district, a solidly Democratic area centered in Montgomery County suburbs of Washington, D.C. Raskin won the 2024 general election with 76.8% of the vote and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary. Republican candidates remain fragmented with limited fundraising and visibility in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.1% implied probability, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan registration, and historical voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate strength within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,688Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin seeks re-election in Maryland's 8th congressional district, a solidly Democratic area centered in Montgomery County suburbs of Washington, D.C. Raskin won the 2024 general election with 76.8% of the vote and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary. Republican candidates remain fragmented with limited fundraising and visibility in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.1% implied probability, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan registration, and historical voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate strength within the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы