The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts's 8th congressional district, anchored in parts of Boston and surrounding suburbs with a partisan voting index exceeding D+15, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and re-elected without Republican opposition in 2024, faces a September 1 Democratic primary challenge from attorney Patrick Roath, but the race remains rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. No Republican candidate has won the seat since 1994, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited GOP infrastructure. While the Democratic primary outcome could shift the nominee, the general election path for Republicans faces structural barriers including turnout dynamics and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts would be required to alter the current implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$19,047 Объем
$19,047 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$19,047 Объем
$19,047 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,022 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$7,025 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts's 8th congressional district, anchored in parts of Boston and surrounding suburbs with a partisan voting index exceeding D+15, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and re-elected without Republican opposition in 2024, faces a September 1 Democratic primary challenge from attorney Patrick Roath, but the race remains rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. No Republican candidate has won the seat since 1994, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited GOP infrastructure. While the Democratic primary outcome could shift the nominee, the general election path for Republicans faces structural barriers including turnout dynamics and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts would be required to alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$19,047Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts's 8th congressional district, anchored in parts of Boston and surrounding suburbs with a partisan voting index exceeding D+15, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and re-elected without Republican opposition in 2024, faces a September 1 Democratic primary challenge from attorney Patrick Roath, but the race remains rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. No Republican candidate has won the seat since 1994, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited GOP infrastructure. While the Democratic primary outcome could shift the nominee, the general election path for Republicans faces structural barriers including turnout dynamics and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts would be required to alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,047Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts's 8th congressional district, anchored in parts of Boston and surrounding suburbs with a partisan voting index exceeding D+15, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and re-elected without Republican opposition in 2024, faces a September 1 Democratic primary challenge from attorney Patrick Roath, but the race remains rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. No Republican candidate has won the seat since 1994, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited GOP infrastructure. While the Democratic primary outcome could shift the nominee, the general election path for Republicans faces structural barriers including turnout dynamics and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts would be required to alter the current implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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