The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93% market price for a Democratic general election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary on September 1, yet polling and fundraising data show multiple viable contenders maintaining an overwhelming edge over the limited Republican field ahead of the November 3 general. Traders view the outcome as largely settled barring an unexpected late primary upset or extraordinary turnout shift, with no major Republican infrastructure or national tailwinds currently positioned to close the structural gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$14,691 Объем
$14,691 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
3%
$14,691 Объем
$14,691 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,787 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$7,903 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93% market price for a Democratic general election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary on September 1, yet polling and fundraising data show multiple viable contenders maintaining an overwhelming edge over the limited Republican field ahead of the November 3 general. Traders view the outcome as largely settled barring an unexpected late primary upset or extraordinary turnout shift, with no major Republican infrastructure or national tailwinds currently positioned to close the structural gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$14,691Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93% market price for a Democratic general election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary on September 1, yet polling and fundraising data show multiple viable contenders maintaining an overwhelming edge over the limited Republican field ahead of the November 3 general. Traders view the outcome as largely settled barring an unexpected late primary upset or extraordinary turnout shift, with no major Republican infrastructure or national tailwinds currently positioned to close the structural gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,691Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93% market price for a Democratic general election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary on September 1, yet polling and fundraising data show multiple viable contenders maintaining an overwhelming edge over the limited Republican field ahead of the November 3 general. Traders view the outcome as largely settled barring an unexpected late primary upset or extraordinary turnout shift, with no major Republican infrastructure or national tailwinds currently positioned to close the structural gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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