Republican incumbent Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia's 6th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and has consistently favored GOP candidates. The district spans western Virginia's Shenandoah Valley and delivered Trump a 24-point margin in 2024 while returning Cline with over 63 percent of the vote. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democrat Beth Macy is the only declared challenger in the Democratic primary. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling shifts or redistricting changes effective for 2026, underpin trader consensus around an 86.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$83,707 Объем
$83,707 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
87%
Демократическая партия
13%
$83,707 Объем
$83,707 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$29,331 Объем
87%
Демократическая партия
$54,375 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia's 6th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and has consistently favored GOP candidates. The district spans western Virginia's Shenandoah Valley and delivered Trump a 24-point margin in 2024 while returning Cline with over 63 percent of the vote. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democrat Beth Macy is the only declared challenger in the Democratic primary. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling shifts or redistricting changes effective for 2026, underpin trader consensus around an 86.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$83,707Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia's 6th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and has consistently favored GOP candidates. The district spans western Virginia's Shenandoah Valley and delivered Trump a 24-point margin in 2024 while returning Cline with over 63 percent of the vote. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democrat Beth Macy is the only declared challenger in the Democratic primary. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling shifts or redistricting changes effective for 2026, underpin trader consensus around an 86.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$83,707Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia's 6th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and has consistently favored GOP candidates. The district spans western Virginia's Shenandoah Valley and delivered Trump a 24-point margin in 2024 while returning Cline with over 63 percent of the vote. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democrat Beth Macy is the only declared challenger in the Democratic primary. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling shifts or redistricting changes effective for 2026, underpin trader consensus around an 86.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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