Pramila Jayapal, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger and minor Democratic opposition, positioning her for the November general election in Washington's 7th congressional district. The Seattle-based seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 80 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its partisan composition and voter registration patterns that favor the party. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent, reflecting the district's structural lean, Jayapal's established fundraising and endorsement base, and the limited profile of the Republican nominee. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen disruption to the incumbent's campaign, neither of which has materialized in available data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$32,398 Объем
$32,398 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
3%
$32,398 Объем
$32,398 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pramila Jayapal, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger and minor Democratic opposition, positioning her for the November general election in Washington's 7th congressional district. The Seattle-based seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 80 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its partisan composition and voter registration patterns that favor the party. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent, reflecting the district's structural lean, Jayapal's established fundraising and endorsement base, and the limited profile of the Republican nominee. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen disruption to the incumbent's campaign, neither of which has materialized in available data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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