Luria holds a strong edge in the VA-02 rematch as the Democratic nominee following her decisive August primary win, backed by over $5 million in fundraising, joint Democratic efforts, and recent ads highlighting her role in the PACT Act alongside attacks on Kiggans' voting record on veterans' care, costs, and gun policy. The swing district's military-heavy electorate and history of close partisan flips amplify the focus on these issues, while a national environment more favorable to Democrats has boosted her position. Kiggans, the Republican incumbent, faces coordinated outside spending and procedural challenges in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the campaign momentum and resource advantages heading into November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-02
$42,984 Объем
$42,984 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Элейн Лурия (Д)
82%
Джен Кигганс (Р)
19%
$42,984 Объем
$42,984 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Элейн Лурия (Д)
$18,720 Объем
82%
Джен Кигганс (Р)
$24,264 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luria holds a strong edge in the VA-02 rematch as the Democratic nominee following her decisive August primary win, backed by over $5 million in fundraising, joint Democratic efforts, and recent ads highlighting her role in the PACT Act alongside attacks on Kiggans' voting record on veterans' care, costs, and gun policy. The swing district's military-heavy electorate and history of close partisan flips amplify the focus on these issues, while a national environment more favorable to Democrats has boosted her position. Kiggans, the Republican incumbent, faces coordinated outside spending and procedural challenges in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the campaign momentum and resource advantages heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$42,984Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luria holds a strong edge in the VA-02 rematch as the Democratic nominee following her decisive August primary win, backed by over $5 million in fundraising, joint Democratic efforts, and recent ads highlighting her role in the PACT Act alongside attacks on Kiggans' voting record on veterans' care, costs, and gun policy. The swing district's military-heavy electorate and history of close partisan flips amplify the focus on these issues, while a national environment more favorable to Democrats has boosted her position. Kiggans, the Republican incumbent, faces coordinated outside spending and procedural challenges in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the campaign momentum and resource advantages heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$42,984Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Luria holds a strong edge in the VA-02 rematch as the Democratic nominee following her decisive August primary win, backed by over $5 million in fundraising, joint Democratic efforts, and recent ads highlighting her role in the PACT Act alongside attacks on Kiggans' voting record on veterans' care, costs, and gun policy. The swing district's military-heavy electorate and history of close partisan flips amplify the focus on these issues, while a national environment more favorable to Democrats has boosted her position. Kiggans, the Republican incumbent, faces coordinated outside spending and procedural challenges in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the campaign momentum and resource advantages heading into November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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