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icon for IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket

$11,012 Объем

Polymarket

$11,012 Объем

Сара Трон Гарриотт (Д)

$4,655 Объем

77%

Зак Нанн (Р)

$6,357 Объем

24%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 House race in trader consensus due to the district's narrow margins in recent cycles and her edge in early fundraising. Zach Nunn won the seat by under two points in both 2022 and 2024, and forecasters continue to rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trone Garriott, a state senator, launched a September 17 television ad highlighting Nunn's committee attendance record and votes tied to Chinese companies, sharpening attacks on national security and economic issues. Broader Iowa polling from mid-September shows Democratic strength on the generic ballot and elevated disapproval for the president, supporting the current 76.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,012
Дата окончания
5 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 House race in trader consensus due to the district's narrow margins in recent cycles and her edge in early fundraising. Zach Nunn won the seat by under two points in both 2022 and 2024, and forecasters continue to rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trone Garriott, a state senator, launched a September 17 television ad highlighting Nunn's committee attendance record and votes tied to Chinese companies, sharpening attacks on national security and economic issues. Broader Iowa polling from mid-September shows Democratic strength on the generic ballot and elevated disapproval for the president, supporting the current 76.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,012
Дата окончания
5 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу IA-04?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу IA-04?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу IA-02?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу IA-02?

52%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу NE-03?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу NE-03?

98%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Сара Трон Гарриотт (Д)» с 77%, за ним следует «Зак Нанн (Р)» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 77¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 77%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11K с момента запуска рынка Dec 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Сара Трон Гарриотт (Д)» с 77%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 77%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Зак Нанн (Р)» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.